The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Boston Fencing Club ROC - Reg Opens 3/20

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, April 10, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Boston, MA - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHA Yi Peng - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
2 BELLUOMO David C. - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 7%
3 SANTULLI Tristan - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
3 LI Arvin 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
5 SHIN Joshua J. - 1% 9% 32% 42% 17%
6 JIANG Owen - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
7 PAN Eric - 2% 18% 41% 31% 7%
8 WERWA Griffith 2% 14% 36% 34% 12% 1%
9 GONG Benjamin - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
10 DEGREMONT Henri S. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
11 ACHILOV Sayid - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
12 LI Eric - 2% 10% 31% 39% 18%
13 SIMA Congyu Josh 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
14 FU Yifan - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
15 SANCHEZ Leon D. 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
16 QI Steve 5% 24% 39% 24% 6% 1%
17 BING Charles - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
18 ALIMI Yacine A. - 2% 12% 35% 40% 12%
19 HOWARD Michael 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
20 DAVIDSON Elliot 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
21 WANG Mason 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
22 KONG Luculentus X. 15% 51% 28% 6% - -
23 BAO Chris W. 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
24 JIN Dennis H. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
25 BAUMANN Gunnar 34% 44% 19% 3% - -
26 GARDOS Noah 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
27 ZHANG Teddy 67% 30% 2% - - -
28 LIGH Thomas 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
29 LI Ayren 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
30 ZHAO Jesse < 1% 10% 39% 37% 13% 1%
31 WHELAN Alexander H. 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.