Boston Fencing Club ROC - Reg Opens 3/20

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, April 10, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Boston, MA - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RAI Avin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 ATEFI Daniel 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
3 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
5 LUO ZIRUI 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 9%
6 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
7 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 97% 72% 29% 5% -
8 CZAHA Balint 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
9 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
10 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
11 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
12 LO Alexander 100% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
13 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
14 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
15 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
16 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
17 ELIN Adam E. 100% 98% 82% 47% 13% 1%
18 KASPER Aaron 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% -
19 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
20 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
21 WEHLE Paul 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
22 BELEV Nicholas 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
23 BRIDGES Benjamin 100% 97% 68% 27% 5% - -
24 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
25 LEUNG Nathan 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
26 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
27 WANG Ziyao 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
28 MAGNI Jesse 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
29 RINDISBACHER Peter 100% 21% 2% - - - -
30 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% -
31 SHAO Peter 100% 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.