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Boston Fencing Club ROC - Reg Opens 3/20

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, April 11, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Boston, MA - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Niles J. - - - 3% 25% 71%
2 WELCH Kyle J. - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
3 LIU Patrick - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
3 WU Alexander 2% 13% 35% 37% 12% 1%
5 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 4%
6 SIEGEL Elliot 1% 7% 29% 41% 20% 2%
7 ZOBEL Eric H. - 1% 8% 30% 46% 15%
8 LI Owen - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
9 FOGELSON Frederick J. - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
10 KAO Castor T. - - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18%
11 OURSLER Jack - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
12 PAN Eric 1% 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
13 JIMENEZ Diran - 1% 11% 37% 40% 10%
14 LEE Daniel C. - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
15 SHA Yi Peng 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1%
16 SCHENCK Koen M. - 4% 20% 42% 31% 4%
17 DEGREMONT Henri S. - 3% 22% 43% 27% 5%
18 HOWARD Michael 11% 40% 36% 12% 1% -
19 SANTULLI Tristan 7% 30% 40% 19% 3% -
20 LI Eric 1% 13% 42% 34% 9% 1%
21 ZHAO Jesse 21% 52% 24% 4% - -
22 FU Yifan 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
23 QI Steve 45% 41% 13% 2% - -
24 ACHILOV Sayid 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
25 SIMA Congyu Josh 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
26 DAVIDSON Elliot 52% 40% 7% - - -
27 JIANG Owen - 5% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1%
28 BAUMANN Gunnar 52% 39% 8% 1% - - -
29 WANG Mason 16% 47% 29% 7% 1% - -
30 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 3% 20% 40% 29% 7% -
31 ALIMI Yacine A. 11% 39% 35% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.