Boston Fencing Club ROC - Reg Opens 3/20

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, April 11, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Boston, MA - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LO Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
2 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
3 ELIN Adam E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
3 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
5 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
6 WEHLE Paul 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
7 CZAHA Balint 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
8 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
9 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
10 MORALES Jonathan 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
11 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
12 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21%
13 ATEFI Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
14 KASPER Aaron 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
15 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
16 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 53% 20% 3%
17 BROOK Joel 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% -
18 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
19 ROSADO Mateo 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
20 LEUNG Nathan 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
21 SHAO Peter 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
22 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 62% 22% 4% 1% - -
22 PERRON Robert 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
24 LENZ Max 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
25 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
26 BRIDGES Benjamin 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
27 BONDARENCO Vlad 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
28 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
29 BRIGGS Gavin 100% 94% 61% 23% 5% - -
30 MAGNI Jesse 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
31 FITZPATRICK Evan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
32 BURFEIND Samuel 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
33 RINDISBACHER Peter 100% 36% 6% - - - -
34 ADAMS Rhys 100% 81% 37% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.