Cobra Challenge SYC-RCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 27, 2021 at 3:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
2 KIM Shaun M. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
3 SHOMAN Noah - - - - 5% 30% 64%
3 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - - 1% 6% 31% 63%
5 PENG Bryan - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
6 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - - 3% 28% 69%
7 MICLAUS Justin - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
8 HU Christopher - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
9 PRIMUS Nazir - - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
10 SHOMAN Zachary - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
10 WANG Nicolas - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
12 ZHENG Edward L. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
13 LEE Aydan J. - - 2% 8% 25% 40% 25%
14 ZHANG Derek - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
15 KWALWASSER Eric - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
16 PATEL Rayn - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
17 LIU Lawrence - - 5% 23% 40% 25% 5%
18 HUANG Alex F. - - - 1% 8% 40% 51%
19 WANG Robert - - - 5% 24% 50% 21%
20 ZENG Noah - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
21 SHINCHUK Daniel - 1% 5% 20% 39% 30% 5%
22 FELDMAN Drew - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
23 SU Landon - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
24 KUSHKOV Daniel - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
25 HOTHA Nikhil 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3% -
25 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
25 WU Richard - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
28 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
29 SUGIURA Samuel - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 3%
30 LIN Steve 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
31 LIN Philip T. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
32 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
33 OH Triton - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
34 NGUYEN Anthony 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
35 GONG Jerry - 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
36 ZHANG Ethan W. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
37 BRANDT Jaden 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
38 ALAVE Kyle - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
39 HUANG Maxwell H. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
39 VENU Ram 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
41 TURCK Caspar J. - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
42 HUNG Samuel 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
43 BERA Enzo - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
44 VAUGHN Jason - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
45 TANG Shu Hon - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
46 RAJMOHAN Arya 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
47 NARDINI Nathanael P. - 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
48 IDRISSI Idris - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
49 URSU Marcel T. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
50 HERR Gabriele - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
51 SAGE Sebastian - 1% 8% 27% 40% 21% 3%
52 EYBELMAN Ariel 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
53 ANAND Sahil Z. 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
54 LI Yao (Liam) - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
55 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 9%
56 CARROLL Charles 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
57 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
58 LIU Kevin 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
59 WANG Oscar 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
60 ZHANG Yupeng - 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 1%
61 DAI Gary 1% 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
62 KATZ Ryan 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
63 BREUER Daniel 52% 39% 9% 1% - - -
64 YAN William - 4% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
65 ZHAO Lucas - - 1% 6% 28% 52% 13%
66 ZHOU James Y. 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
67 HE Bowen 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
68 ATWOOD Griffin 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4% -
69 BODKIN Jake M. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
70 JORGESON Charlie - 6% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
71 HO Nathaniel - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
72 SINGER Marcus 3% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
73 MENDOZA Diwa 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
74 BONETTI Brayden - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 7%
75 CRAIG Andrew 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
76 WANG Daniel 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
77 GAUVEY Kieran 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
78 WEINSTEIN Nate 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
79 FANG Eason 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
80 SHIPITSIN Alexander - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
81 LIU Isaak 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
82 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2% -
83 MARGULIS Jared 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
83 COUNTS Nicholas 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
83 SEN Christian 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
86 LEE Andrew 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3% -
86 KIM Ethan 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
88 MARGULIAN Grant 3% 26% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
89 GERSTMANN Max T. 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
90 LIM Brandon 2% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
91 PRIEUR Christian F. 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
91 OH Aster 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
91 LICHTERMAN Jakub - 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
91 TSAO Oliver 1% 8% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
95 KESSLER Nathan 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% -
96 CHEN Jonathan - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 4%
96 FTAIHA Ezra 59% 34% 6% - - - -
96 LEUNG Ian - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 2%
99 WANG Max 3% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
100 MEYERSON Jacob - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
101 DESAI Dhilan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
101 LIN Maxim 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
103 ZHENG LEON 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
104 JONES Elijah - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
105 WELSTEAD Nicholas 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
106 COURTIN Frederic 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
106 ALMEDA Stanislav 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
108 MEDVINSKY Daniel - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
109 NGO Maximus 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
109 MONTALVO Matthew 22% 49% 24% 5% - - -
111 LIN Felix 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
112 NG Jonathan 9% 33% 36% 18% 4% - -
113 DHANJAL Guntas 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
114 O'GRADY Declan 44% 43% 12% 1% - - -
115 BIVIJI Ali 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
116 MCDONALD Finn 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
117 PENG Victor 13% 42% 33% 11% 2% - -
118 SIMATOS Luka D. 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
119 HU Andrew 4% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
120 LEE Anderson 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% - -
121 WONG Caleb W. 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
122 AGARWALA Mukul 83% 16% 1% - - - -
122 GONG Gavin 13% 49% 30% 7% 1% - -
124 CHANG Leo 6% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
125 KIM Theodore 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
126 XIA Eric 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
127 LIGH Checed 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
128 CHANG Daniel 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
129 KONG Alan < 1% 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
130 SASSI Ilyas 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
131 KUSANAGI Soshi 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
132 LEE Gordon 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
133 JIANG Terence 65% 30% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.