The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Cobra Challenge SYC-RCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, November 28, 2021 at 3:30 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SENOGLU Irmak - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
2 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
3 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 WEI JoyAnn - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
5 CHIARELLI Valentina - - - 2% 23% 74%
6 BERMAN greta - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
7 LIU Yifei 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
8 HU Anna - 2% 12% 39% 41% 6%
9 HAMMERSTROM Aria - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9%
10 BUSH Bethany - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
11 FUNG Iris - - 5% 24% 48% 23%
12 LOO Kaitlyn - 1% 12% 34% 38% 15%
13 ZENG Sarah 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
14 MALEK Zolie - 3% 20% 40% 30% 8%
15 MERCHANT Aishwarya - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
16 CHIANG Melissa 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
17 MYAT Chloe - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
18 DAMBAL Sasha - 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
19 CASTELO Soleil - 8% 28% 38% 22% 5%
20 CHAVAN Arya 9% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
21 YANNOPOULOS Pompie - 3% 20% 40% 30% 7%
22 XIONG Alina - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
23 VINOKUR Anita 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
24 LEOU Korina 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
25 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
26 FABRICANT Kioka R. 1% 8% 29% 42% 19% 1%
27 CHAN Madeleine V. 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
28 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
29 GONZALEZ Veronika 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
30 CROOKS Riley 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
31 DUTA Lyra 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
32 MERMEGAS Olivia 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
33 LIANG Claire 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
34 BUSH Divina 1% 10% 36% 37% 14% 2%
35 WANG JiaQi 1% 17% 37% 32% 12% 2%
36 IANNUZZI Lucy 1% 9% 31% 38% 19% 3%
37 LEE Tammy 22% 56% 19% 3% - -
38 MANSPERGER Gia 16% 45% 31% 8% 1% -
38 SEVASTOPULO Sahra - 2% 15% 35% 35% 13%
40 CHANG Norah 13% 38% 35% 12% 1% -
41 BORGUETA Madison 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
42 WENG Amber 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
42 REDA Sophie 2% 13% 35% 36% 12% 1%
44 HILD Anya 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
45 MARAGH Farrah E. 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2%
46 BLAKE Anna - 2% 19% 40% 31% 9%
47 YERENKOVA Ameliia 9% 34% 40% 16% 2% -
48 GONG Joy 6% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
49 VAISH Anusha 14% 44% 32% 9% 1% -
50 TA-ZHOU Emma 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
51 AWAD Royce 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
52 LEE Alyson 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
53 ENG Madeleine 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
54 MARGULIS Roxana 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
54 DAVIDOVA Kira 3% 29% 42% 21% 4% -
56 BAO Jingxuan 58% 36% 5% - - -
57 HUANG Pierra 78% 20% 2% - - -
57 DE ALMEIDA Lila 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
59 GOROKHOVA Marina 59% 36% 5% - - -
60 BROWN Piper 31% 45% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.