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Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Vet ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, September 25, 2021 at 8:00 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Juni C. - - 5% 28% 54% 13%
2 INSLER Ethan C. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
3 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
3 JIN Alexander - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
5 JONES Simon A. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
6 RICUTA Laurentiu Florentin - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
7 VERMEULE Spencer - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
8 LIEF Isaac R. - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
9 SILVER Cameron - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
9 LONCAR Luka E. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
11 KOBI Samuel 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1%
12 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
13 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - - - 6% 34% 59%
14 BEZRODNOV Alexander 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
15 HOLTZ Donovan K. - - - 5% 24% 45% 25%
16 RHYU Kozmo - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
17 JIN Owen - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
18 GUI Runlin 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
19 PARK Frederick - 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
20 CHONG Christopher - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
21 KIM William M. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
22 WU Joseph - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
23 KOKENGE Reid 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
24 SOOMRO Adam A. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
25 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 14%
26 ALFAIATE Lucas - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
27 MELCHER Jack H. - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
28 TUMIBAY Noah C. 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
29 JEYOON Ryan S. - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
30 CHEN Eric - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
31 PRIHODKO Max 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
32 KUMAR Aidan 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
33 SIMPSON Patrick - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
34 MACARTY Jordan T. - 1% 14% 37% 35% 12% 1%
35 KROPP Jack - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
36 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
37 KIM Tei D. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
37 EKE Frank 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
39 LEE Noah - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
40 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos - 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
41 LANGTON Sawyer 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
42 RICHARD Owen 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
43 FULLER George K. - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
44 FELDMAN Jaemin 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
45 BORATIN Daniel I. - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
46 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
47 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
48 STALL-RYAN Jonathan 8% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
49 SHEN Max 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
50 WU Jonathan 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
51 BEZRODNOV Michael - 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
52 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
53 KIM Byung 1% 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
54 SPRINGER Michael 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
55 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
56 GAO Daniel 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
57 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
58 BOYNTON Zachariah (Zach) G. 2% 16% 38% 34% 10% 1%
59 HE Lawrence 6% 27% 42% 22% 3% -
60 GERSEN Jacob 21% 45% 26% 7% 1% -
61 PAN Colin 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
62 RYAN Joshua P. 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% 1%
63 NOVOJILOV Alexei 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
64 SWANSON Lars M. - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 3%
65 DIPAOLA Steven M. - 4% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
66 MORSE Tyler - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
67 HERMANSON David B. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% 1%
68 JENNINGS Adin 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
69 SKAALAND Will 12% 37% 36% 13% 1% -
70 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 34% 44% 19% 3% - -
71 SVIBEN Cameron 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
72 CHOE Andrew 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
73 MISHIMA Torata 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1%
74 MATEI Daniel 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
75 CHOI Mason 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
76 PAHLAVI Kamran 2% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
77 LEE Hudson 8% 37% 37% 15% 3% - -
78 STEWART Robert - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
79 LI Jalen 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
80 MAZZOLI Julio C. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
81 LUO Peter 62% 32% 5% - - - -
82 PHO Eric - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8%
83 PAINTER Patrick I. 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
84 CHEN Chang-Rung 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
85 GONG Haixiang 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
86 ZENG Zihan 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
86 FUSSMAN Yuval 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
86 PARK Nicholas 27% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
89 LUO Aaron 6% 25% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
90 ZHANG William 7% 37% 38% 15% 3% - -
91 WANG Yi Nan 50% 41% 8% 1% - - -
92 PARK Brian 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
93 ROLLO Emmett H. 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
94 NOP Will H. 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
95 QI Terry 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
96 CHEN Brian 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
97 GRAYSON Joshua 62% 32% 5% - - - -
98 PATEL Pratik 15% 45% 36% 5% - - -
99 CHU Wenxi 22% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.