Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Vet ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, September 25, 2021 at 1:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRUK Peter J. - 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 4%
2 UM Ethan A. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 HOLMES Stuart S. - - - - 5% 34% 61%
3 GRAHAM Roy J. - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
5 STANLEY Mason B. - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
6 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
7 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
8 BAS Liam - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
9 KIM Nicholas W. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
10 DESANDO Michael R. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
11 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
12 LI Owen - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
13 LINALDI Alberto 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
14 WU Alexander - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
15 VASILIEV Sacha M. - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 16%
16 KWON Ethan - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
17 LI Richard - - 1% 7% 31% 49% 13%
18 KATAYAMA Kevin - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
19 SINGH Dayaal - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
20 ZOBEL Eric H. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
21 SHA Yi Peng - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
22 DU Samuel R. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
23 YEROKHIN Michael N. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
24 KAO Castor T. - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
25 SCHENCK Koen M. - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
26 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
27 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
28 SIEGEL Elliot - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
29 ANTON Nathaniel 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
30 RITCHIE Luke W. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
31 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
32 KIM Yonjae - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
33 YU Vinni - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
34 DEGREMONT Henri S. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
35 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
36 LI Eric - 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 1%
37 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7%
38 LAURICELLA Douglas - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
39 KITAGAWA Eric S. 15% 41% 32% 10% 2% - -
39 BUERGIN Aidan - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
41 TEMPLE Jackson - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
42 KEE Andrew L. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
43 BELLUOMO David C. - 3% 18% 41% 30% 7% -
44 BING Charles - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
45 HEMPE Jake - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
46 WELCH Kyle J. - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
47 AHN Jun 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
48 PYO Michael M. - - 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
49 JOSEPH Willem - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
50 FU Samuel Y. 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
51 TORRES Treston 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
52 ACHILOV Sayid 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
53 ZHAI Jeffrey 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
54 BAE Kevin - 2% 12% 36% 38% 11% 1%
55 LI Matthew 2% 20% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
56 DAI Jonathan T. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
57 GONG Benjamin 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
58 LEE Jacob J 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
59 TOLBA Abdelrahman 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
60 GU Andrew 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
61 ADLER David R. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
62 HOOSHI Jayden C. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
63 SHIN Joshua J. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
64 SONG Bryan 29% 44% 22% 5% - -
65 JAUME Andrei 2% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
66 ZHEN Ethan 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
67 JIMENEZ Diran - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 6%
68 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
69 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
70 BOBROW Logan - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
71 WANG Mason 7% 33% 41% 17% 3% - -
72 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 21% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
73 CAI Oliver K. 4% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
74 MITCHELL Philip D. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
75 DOBBINS Evan W. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
76 LE Vyn A. 2% 16% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
77 TRAUGOT Owen G. 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
78 JIN Dennis H. 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
79 PAN Eric 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
80 LIN James G. 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
81 LIN Michael 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% -
82 PO Oliver 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
83 MOO Gareth G. 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
84 JIANG Owen 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
85 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 2% 20% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
86 GALLER Dave 47% 41% 10% 1% - - -
86 TALLARICO Matthew 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
88 SCHLESINGER Nathan - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
88 TSAI Max W. 6% 32% 41% 17% 3% - -
88 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
91 KNIZHNIK David 16% 41% 31% 10% 2% - -
92 SIMA Congyu Josh 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
93 WANG Michael 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
94 TAHOUN Mostafa 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
94 MENG Zhaoyi 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
96 FU Yifan 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
97 ALIMI Yacine A. 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 2% -
97 SHADPOOR Ryan 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
99 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 69% 27% 4% - - - -
100 KLOTZ Isaiah 19% 48% 27% 5% - - -
101 LI Ayren 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
102 REZA Farazi 55% 36% 9% 1% - - -
103 AMRANI David 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.