Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Vet ROC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, September 26, 2021 at 1:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GONG Benjamin - - 1% 21% 53% 25%
2 ACHILOV Sayid - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
3 DEGREMONT Henri S. - - - 9% 43% 48%
3 LE Vyn A. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
5 SHIN Joshua J. - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
6 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
7 WANG Michael - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
8 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
9 JIANG Owen - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
10 JAUME Andrei - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
11 ZHEN Ethan - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
12 LIN James G. - 2% 14% 35% 37% 13%
13 MCLEAN Miles K. 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
14 MENG Zhaoyi - 3% 19% 43% 30% 6%
15 CHREKY Jacob D. - - 7% 51% 35% 6%
16 PO Oliver - 1% 11% 37% 40% 11%
17 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
18 HOWARD Michael - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
19 KITAGAWA Eric S. - 2% 24% 44% 25% 4%
20 MILLER Andrew - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
21 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
22 PITERBARG Maxim 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
23 SONG Bryan 1% 10% 32% 37% 18% 3%
24 MCCAULEY Samuel R. - 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
25 GALLUCCI Charles John - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
26 TSAI Max W. 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
27 CAI Oliver K. - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
28 JIN Dennis H. 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
29 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
30 HONG Issac 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
31 GLEBA Nico 53% 36% 9% 1% - -
32 TALLARICO Matthew 2% 22% 40% 27% 8% 1%
33 LI Eric - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
34 MOO Gareth G. 1% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2%
35 BROWN Alexander R. 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
36 BAO Chris W. 4% 26% 44% 22% 4% -
37 BALESTRACCI Chris - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
38 HOLTZ Donovan K. - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
39 BOUSSY Luciano 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
40 WANG Jackson 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1%
41 BENTLEY Nick 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
42 KLOTZ Isaiah 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
43 LEE Jonah 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3%
44 WANG Mason - 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
45 JOHNSON Cooper A. - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
46 AMRANI David 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% -
47 VALENTON Timothy 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
48 ZHENG Harrison 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
49 REZA Farazi 12% 33% 35% 16% 4% -
50 ALIMI Yacine A. - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
51 LI Ayren 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
52 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 25% 52% 22% 1% - -
53 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
54 WU Michael 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
54 GARDOS Noah 45% 39% 13% 2% - -
56 MORGESON Colin 12% 43% 41% 4% - -
57 VO Jonathan 70% 27% 2% - - -
58 MAGALONG William 35% 47% 17% 1% - -
59 XU Ethan 8% 39% 37% 14% 2% -
60 TSIMMERMAN Michael 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
61 POPE Alexander 14% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
62 WU Benjamin 69% 27% 4% - - -
63 KAPOOR Aayan 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
64 DEVAUX Ryan T. 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
65 HAYLON Caleb 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
65 WERTZ Erik 7% 35% 41% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.