National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Tuesday, July 6, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
2 UM Ethan A. - - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
3 YU Eric W. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 CHUNG Andrew N. - - - - 3% 31% 66%
5 LOUIE Bryce - - - - 5% 31% 64%
6 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
7 BURKE Spencer W. - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
8 EMMER Chase T. - - - - 2% 27% 70%
9 CHEN James P. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
9 GASSNER Ethan I. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
11 LIU Justin - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
12 GRIFFITH JACK - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
13 YI Stephen K. - - 4% 19% 40% 30% 6%
14 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
15 SHAFAIE Kaveh - - - 5% 29% 52% 14%
16 KIM Nicholas W. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
17 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - - 1% 7% 31% 44% 18%
18 DORITY Philip S. - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
18 LI Brandon H. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
20 YANG Adam - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
21 JEON Caleb A. - - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
22 LEVY Jacob M. - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 15%
23 VOGLER Justin K. - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
24 KUMBLA Samarth - - - 4% 21% 48% 27%
25 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
26 KASI Sanjay - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
27 XIAO Ethan J. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
28 KELLY William J. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
28 MITCHELL Philip D. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
30 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
31 CHOUN Samuel Minwook - 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
32 JOHNSON Aidan J. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
33 PARK Luke J. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
34 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
35 KAO Castor T. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
36 CHEN Andrew - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
36 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
38 STANLEY Mason B. - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
39 LIU Niles J. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
40 LO Conrad - - - 1% 12% 42% 44%
41 GRIFFIN John O. - - - - 6% 36% 58%
42 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
43 DIVITO Dylan - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
44 REID Clayton J. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
45 SUNG Chang-Han S. 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 4% -
46 ONIK Elijah T. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
47 LEE Aidan - 1% 5% 22% 38% 28% 6%
48 SINGH Dayaal - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
49 ZHANG Henry C. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
50 HUTH Mitchell - 2% 11% 32% 38% 17%
51 PETER Griffin - - - 6% 29% 49% 16%
51 BAS Liam - - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
53 YU Vinni - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
54 BESSIRE Nolan S. - - - 4% 23% 45% 28%
55 LIN Dashiell - 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
56 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - 5% 25% 40% 25% 5%
57 GRAHAM Roy J. - - 4% 19% 41% 30% 6%
58 LEE Benjamin H. - - 2% 12% 35% 42% 9%
59 LOCKWOOD Owen - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
60 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
61 JAIN Aditya - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
62 BREIER Matthew F. - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
63 HAN Andersen Y. - 1% 12% 35% 38% 13% 1%
64 GEE Brandon - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
65 BRUK Peter J. - 3% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1%
66 LIN Richard W. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
67 ROMANOV Michael 1% 7% 25% 36% 25% 6%
68 OH Samuel H. - - 5% 28% 47% 18% 1%
69 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
70 SICHITIU Alexander - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
71 BAE Junnie - 1% 8% 28% 41% 20% 3%
72 KEE Andrew L. 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4% -
73 ZHENG Alan H. - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 2%
74 DANKAR Neel 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
74 YANG Luao - 1% 8% 27% 39% 23% 3%
76 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
77 BAE Kevin - 2% 12% 33% 38% 13% 1%
78 MAURER Ned (John) E. - 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
79 TIERNEY David A. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
79 ZHAO Jason L. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
81 SONG Aiden S. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
82 CHEN Allen - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
83 ANDERSON Colton J. - 3% 21% 45% 26% 6% -
84 GODZHIK Zachary 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
85 PAEK Alex J. - 1% 9% 30% 40% 18% 2%
86 REALS Alden D. - - 1% 7% 30% 47% 16%
87 ZHAI Jeffrey 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
88 PETERS Nathan M. 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
89 NAGER Noah 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 4% -
90 ZHANG Luke T. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
91 CANNON Caiden C. - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 10%
92 YEROKHIN Michael N. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
92 KO Brian J. - - 1% 13% 39% 37% 11%
94 ACHILOV Sayid - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
95 YANG Andy H. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
96 LI Richard - - 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
97 GRANT Lachlan K. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
98 DIERKS Kian 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
99 HUTH Jacob - 4% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
100 BANERJEE ANUP - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 5%
101 DICKSON Farr R. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
101 FUKUDA Alessio R. - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
103 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 2%
104 SHIH William - 1% 8% 27% 38% 23% 5%
105 OH Jonathan 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
106 CAI Jason Zhicheng 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
107 SIEGEL Elliot - 5% 21% 37% 27% 7% -
108 ZENG Lucas H. - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 15%
109 CHIN Jason Y. - - 3% 17% 40% 35% 6%
110 LI Simon A. - 6% 26% 39% 24% 5% -
110 BING Charles - 1% 9% 30% 40% 18% 2%
112 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 14%
113 KIM Yonjae - 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
114 SONG Leonardo T. - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11% 1%
115 KOBAL Maximilian 1% 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
116 OURSLER Jack - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
117 VERSTEELE Sander 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
118 FLANAGAN James - 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
119 DAI Jonathan T. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
120 KIM Ryan Y. 4% 26% 41% 24% 5% - -
121 HODESS Ethan - 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
122 KUO Evan 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
123 BOBROW Logan - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
124 CHIN Julian S. - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
125 SHA Yi Peng - 3% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
126 MARX Oscar L. 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
127 XIAO EDWARD 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
128 WU Jerry Z. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
129 AYUPOV Ilya - - - 4% 24% 57% 15%
130 LEE Chaemin D. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 5%
131 CHENG Thomas C. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
132 JANG Jaewon - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
133 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
134 PELOSKY Zack B. - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
135 HO Ryan J. 1% 7% 23% 38% 27% 5%
136 THAI William - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
137 KWON Ethan - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
138 DESHMUKH Ayush 1% 12% 37% 34% 14% 2% -
139 PYO Michael M. - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
140 WECHSLER Jacob 4% 25% 41% 24% 5% - -
141 LEWIS Paul D. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
141 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
143 DAVIS Christopher M. - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
144 DESOLA Aidan J. 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
145 ALIMI Yacine A. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
145 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
147 BALL James T. 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 1%
148 AHN Jun 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
149 OTAKE Jared K. - 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
150 BUERGIN Aidan - 6% 27% 40% 22% 4% -
151 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
152 ANDREWS Nathan J. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
153 GAO William 3% 19% 39% 31% 9% 1% -
154 JIMENEZ Diran - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8%
155 BELLUOMO David C. - 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
156 SCHENCK Koen M. - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 5%
157 ZHANG Andy W. - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 8%
158 ORTIZ Zachary M. - 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
159 DARIANO Noah G. - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
159 XIAO Anthony - 5% 27% 45% 20% 2% -
159 TAN Christien 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
162 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4% -
162 WHITEHEAD Amir 1% 11% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
164 RITCHIE Luke W. - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
165 VAZQUEZ Zander 2% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
166 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
166 FOGELSON Frederick J. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
166 PRASANNA Advaith 6% 29% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
169 WANG Gerald Y. 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3% -
170 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
170 HOOSHI Jayden C. - 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
172 EVGENEV Mark 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
173 WU Conrad J. 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% - -
174 TSANG Matthew K. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
175 ELKOUSY Laith H. 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% - -
176 GIRALDO Pablo E. - - 2% 13% 37% 37% 11%
176 HORSLEY Alexander 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
178 CHOI Samuel - 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
179 DOCTOR Aidan L. 4% 20% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
179 KIM Derek A. 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
179 CHENG Jonathan - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
182 CHAN Tyler - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
183 DING Jonathan - 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
184 CULLIVAN Justice 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
185 WILLIAMS Connor J. 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% - -
186 DEGREMONT Henri S. - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
187 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
188 TORRES Treston 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
189 LIM Charles Q. 21% 48% 25% 5% - - -
190 KIM Isaiah G. 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
191 KIM Brandon J. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
192 CURLEY Sebastian D. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
193 LI Raphael C. 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 7%
194 WU Alexander 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
195 HOOSHI Dylan M. - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
196 GOOR Julian - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
197 LUH Ethan K. 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
198 GRISWOLD Abel B. 1% 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
199 DAUM Charlie 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
200 HOWARD Michael - 13% 44% 32% 9% 1% -
201 LIU Eric Y. 1% 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
202 FARQUHARSON Cole - 1% 7% 28% 44% 18% 2%
203 LEE Chris - 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
204 NABI Masoud Masoud W. 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
205 BARTEL Jacob L. 1% 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
206 TSAY Jeremy M. - 17% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
207 MURUHIN Yaroslav 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
207 LI Owen - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
209 REZNICK Nicholas J. 1% 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
209 LI Avery Peihong 6% 43% 38% 12% 1% - -
211 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
212 KNOEPFFLER Alex 2% 27% 48% 21% 3% - -
212 KLOTZ Isaiah 38% 42% 16% 3% - - -
214 GOGOI Vir K. 31% 47% 19% 3% - - -
215 HERGERT Benito 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
215 RINEHART Conner M. 1% 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
217 SELL Ethan J. 13% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
218 CHENG Nathan 3% 27% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
219 ZACHARY Zane 79% 20% 2% - - - -
220 CANO Marcos E. 5% 35% 40% 16% 3% - -
221 PATINO Yahir 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
222 OH SEAN - 6% 27% 41% 22% 4% -
223 FURST Matthew C. 2% 24% 45% 24% 4% - -
224 REYES Omar 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
225 HSIUNG Richie 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
226 MCCORD Clark 7% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
227 BERK Theodore 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
228 ROUNTREE Rob 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
229 MILLER Trent D. 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
230 MCCLAIN Bryce C. - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
231 TIAN Aaron C. 15% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
232 CHENG Matthew S. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
233 UPTON Craig 7% 41% 40% 11% 1% - -
234 JI Aidan Y. 12% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
235 NEWELL Ian A. 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
235 FINLEY Dylan 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
237 REEVES Liam - 17% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
238 LYUTIKOV Yegor 2% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
238 STRAYER Andrew 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
240 KHER Roan 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
241 FORTUNE Alexander J. 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
242 LEE Lukas 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
243 MILLER Chance 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
244 CAI Oliver K. 7% 39% 37% 14% 3% - -
244 LISONDRA Niko 7% 32% 39% 18% 3% - -
244 WONG Garrick G. 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
244 SONG Dylan S. 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
244 LEE Jacob 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
249 BRYANT Max 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
249 ZHENG zhe 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
251 BERNABE Rafael 6% 56% 32% 6% - - -
252 CHI Alexander 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
253 GUPTA Varun 15% 47% 30% 7% 1% - -
254 ZHOU Oscar J. 1% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
254 SZEGO Bence P. 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
256 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
257 OH Jaden 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
258 MORALES Ian N. 4% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
259 PALMA Matthew Dominic 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
260 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% - -
260 WONG Antonio 14% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
260 ARANA Massimo 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
263 LE Vyn A. 3% 41% 43% 12% 1% - -
264 WANG Ethan 26% 44% 24% 5% 1% - -
265 BROWN Darius D. 67% 29% 4% - - - -
266 DETERING Julian 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
266 WERWA Griffith 40% 42% 16% 2% - - -
268 ZARITSKY Theodore 88% 11% - - - - -
269 GALBAN Matthias L. 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
269 SEAL Maximus R. 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
271 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 5% 43% 38% 13% 2% - -
272 SANTOS Carlos R. 47% 42% 10% 1% - - -
272 YU Jonathan J. 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
272 POIROT Max 69% 27% 4% - - - -
272 DEES Reed 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
276 WENDELL Jay Z. 53% 38% 8% 1% - - -
276 WOMACH Tristan 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
278 HOANG Michael 71% 26% 3% - - - -
278 FARRELL Spencer 97% 3% - - - - -
280 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 31% 47% 18% 3% - - -
280 YEE Johnathan 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
280 DIMARZIO Paul 86% 14% 1% - - - -
283 CHUBIRKA Jonathan 73% 24% 3% - - - -
283 GRESENS Jacob 82% 17% 1% - - - -
285 BOYLE Aiden P. 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
285 CHUFONG-SPRAGUE Matthew 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
287 CELJO Benjamin 95% 5% - - - - -
287 WAKEHAM Paul 84% 16% 1% - - - -
287 WAKEHAM Timothy 95% 5% - - - - -
290 HOGAN Gideon 76% 22% 2% - - - -
291 WOHLERS Trevor 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.