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National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Wednesday, July 7, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - 1% 13% 87%
2 BAS Liam - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
3 PELOSKY Zack B. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 WU Alexander - - - - 6% 33% 61%
5 YANG Luao - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
6 KAO Castor T. - - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
7 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - - 4% 28% 68%
8 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
9 LO Conrad - - - - 1% 17% 81%
10 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
11 LI Richard - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
12 LUH Ethan K. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
13 JEON Caleb A. - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
14 JAIN Aditya - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
15 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 20%
16 LEE Aidan - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
17 GODZHIK Zachary - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
18 KIM Yonjae - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
19 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
20 GONG Benjamin - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
21 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
21 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - - - 6% 34% 59%
23 LEE Jacob - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
24 GOOR Julian - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
25 CULLIVAN Justice - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
26 KEE Andrew L. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 10%
26 AHN Jun - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
28 WYMAN Julian - 1% 5% 21% 40% 29% 4%
29 OH SEAN - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 5%
30 TAN Christien 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
31 ZHAI Jeffrey - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
32 ACHILOV Sayid - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
33 TSAY Jeremy M. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
34 LIN James G. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
35 LI Eric - - 3% 16% 39% 35% 6%
36 BRUK Peter J. - - 1% 11% 35% 40% 12%
37 DETERING Julian - 4% 21% 40% 28% 7% -
38 BING Charles - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
39 GOGOI Vir K. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
40 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
41 QIAN Jason H. - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
42 TANG Owen S. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
43 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25% 1%
44 KANG Anthony - - 3% 19% 41% 31% 5%
45 ZHEN Ethan - 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4%
46 CHENG Jonathan - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
47 VALOUEV Aleksey 5% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
48 TSAO Lukas 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
49 YOON DYLAN 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
50 WANG mason 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
51 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
52 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
53 CHUNG Yeongbin - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
54 MARX Oscar L. - - 1% 8% 32% 45% 14%
55 JI Evan 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
56 GUO Sean 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
57 TSIMIKLIS Yanni - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
58 WOO Christian - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
59 LI Matthew - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
60 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
61 HOSKERI Anik S. - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
62 CANLAS Nathan - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
63 WONG Garrick G. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
64 CHEN Kyle P. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
65 ZHENG zhe - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
66 STRUGAR Marcus A. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
67 SIU Aiden - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
68 KNIZHNIK David 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
69 SONG Aiden S. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
69 REYES Omar - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
71 JIANG Owen - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
72 GAO William - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 2%
73 DOCTOR Aidan L. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
74 REEVES Liam - 1% 8% 24% 37% 24% 5%
75 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
76 KIM Andrew J. - - 4% 21% 42% 28% 4%
77 ZHOU Leon 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
78 KNOEPFFLER Alex - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
79 SAGE Michael P. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
80 MYERS Dean 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
81 SONG Bryan 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
81 LIN Michael - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
83 LEE Lukas 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% - -
84 HEARN Christen J. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
85 GORBACHEV Alexander 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
86 ORLOV Dmitriy 2% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
87 PO Oliver 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
88 WANG Winston 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
89 CANO Marcos E. 5% 23% 36% 27% 8% 1%
90 GARCIA Sebastian R. - 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 3%
90 KLYCZEK Andrew 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
92 ELKOUSY Laith H. - 4% 16% 33% 33% 14% 1%
92 CHIN Julian S. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
94 LI Avery Peihong 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
95 ROSE Ben 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
96 PITERBARG Maxim 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
97 KRYLTSOV Michael - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
98 ANTON Nathaniel - 1% 7% 25% 41% 23% 3%
99 SIMA Congyu Josh 2% 17% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
100 TAHOUN Mostafa 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
101 ORVANANOS Jorge - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
102 MATSAKH Philip 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
103 GUO Justin 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
104 KIM Ryan Y. - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
105 LE Jacob W. 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
106 WECHSLER Jacob - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
107 LIU Eric Y. - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 2%
108 LIU Michael H. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
109 MA Andrew - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
110 PLASTARAS Trey 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
111 SANTOS Carlos R. 8% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
112 DE COQUET Maximilian 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% - -
113 ROSS III Paul D. 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
114 TORRES Treston - 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
115 LIU Jacob B. 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
116 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 3% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
117 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 1%
118 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
119 ZHOU Oscar J. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
120 LEE Jonah 4% 21% 37% 27% 10% 1% -
121 JI Aidan Y. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
121 LI Aaron 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
121 KIM Aiden 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
124 LI Arvin 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
125 PIESNER Zachary C. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
126 BAEK David 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
126 WANG Brayden 45% 41% 12% 1% - - -
128 MUSHER Benjamin J. - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 10%
129 WANG Julang 20% 42% 29% 7% 1% - -
130 MA Bryant 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
131 KLOTZ Isaiah 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
132 TANG August L. 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
133 LORENZO Alejandro 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
134 PALMA Nathan Anthony 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
135 LI Ayren 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
136 MENG Zhaoyi 5% 23% 36% 27% 9% 1%
137 YAO Bradley - 4% 21% 41% 27% 6% -
138 ZHANG Jiening G. - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
139 BADLANI Dev 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
140 KHER Roan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
141 MIN Eric - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
141 TAN Peter 1% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
143 WU Lucas 3% 20% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
144 LISONDRA Niko 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
145 LI Allen 44% 42% 13% 1% - - -
146 TANG Albert 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
147 CATINO Brennen - 2% 12% 35% 37% 13% 1%
148 PAN Henry 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
149 CHENG Ethan 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
150 MARX Jackson L. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
151 HSIAO Nicholas 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
152 LIU Derek 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
153 CHOI Ethan 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10% -
154 OH Jaden 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
155 CORTRIGHT Skipper 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
156 LEE Christopher T. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
157 FUKUDA Diego 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
158 PALMA Matthew Dominic 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
159 GUERRA Gabriel H. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
160 ALLEN Henry G. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
161 DINSAY Kristjan 2% 18% 41% 30% 8% 1% -
162 SENIC Lucas 8% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
163 LIU Ethan 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
164 SHAO Eric 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
165 WANG Ethan 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2% -
165 HUANG Eythan 16% 44% 31% 8% 1% - -
167 LO Preston 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
167 TEH Ryan 15% 38% 32% 13% 3% - -
169 CHENG Jonathan 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
170 LLIDO Soren 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
171 ZHANG Aaron 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
172 MAO Lucas 22% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
173 XU Andy P. 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
174 SANCHEZ Emanuel 13% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
175 KIM Jackson - 5% 22% 40% 26% 6% -
175 FANG Jaden 37% 41% 17% 3% - - -
177 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
177 LIPPMAN Sam 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
179 SUAREZ Adrian 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
179 AGRAWAL Niki 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
181 KOVACS Wyatt 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
182 RNO Kyler 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
183 LIM Lance Jeremiah 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
184 WONG Antonio 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
185 ZHANG Zixuan "Mark" 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
186 FINNEY Lorenz 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
187 TRUBETSKI David 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
188 POLONSKI Anthony 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
188 CHEN Kelton 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
190 NGUYEN martin 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
191 LING Eddie 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
191 LI Samuel 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
191 TALASILA Arush 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
194 WHELAN Alexander H. 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
194 SMITH Grant D. 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
194 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 8% 34% 39% 16% 3% - -
197 DERRICK Blake 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
197 HAN Derek 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% - -
199 CHEN Junxuan 69% 27% 4% - - - -
199 BEAVER Aaron 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
199 QIU Jay (Tengjie) 54% 35% 9% 1% - - -
202 LIU William 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.