National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
2 YEN Preston 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
3 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
5 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
6 KOTOV Leonid 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
7 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 26% 5%
8 CZAHA Balint 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
9 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
10 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
11 LI Joshua L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 4%
12 WU Mengke 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
13 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
14 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
15 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
16 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
17 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
18 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
19 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
20 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 44% 11%
21 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
22 GREENE Cameron J. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
23 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
24 REN James 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
25 ZHOU Miles 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
26 YUAN Kevin 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
27 LO Alexander 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
28 VO Minh Q. 100% 98% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
29 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
30 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
31 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
32 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
33 XU William 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 7%
34 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 5%
35 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
36 ZHOU Brian 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
36 SCHARDINE James 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
38 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
39 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
40 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
41 AN Damon 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 11% 1%
42 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
43 HO Kaden M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
44 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 41% 10%
45 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
46 COLE Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
47 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
48 SANFILIPPO-SCHERER Alexander G. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
49 KUMAR Sachit 100% 70% 30% 7% 1% - -
50 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
51 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14%
52 BRISTOL Brijen 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
53 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
54 HU Andrew 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
55 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
56 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
57 CHEN Evan P. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
58 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
59 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
60 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
61 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
62 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
63 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
64 PANDEY Neil 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2%
65 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
66 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 99% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
67 SHASHA zane 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
67 ZHU Charlie 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
69 TSODIKOV Matthew G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
70 WEHLE Paul 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
71 RICH Jack 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
72 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
73 MURZYN III CJ 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
73 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
73 WANG Nicolas 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
76 GEORGE Daniel 100% 95% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
77 KNISPEL-HEYWORTH Rafael 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 2%
78 ATEFI Daniel 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 3%
79 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
80 ELIN Adam E. 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
81 LEITH Jack 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
82 SANDERS Samuel B. 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
83 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
84 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
85 WU Wilmund 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
85 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
87 SATHE Tej R. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
88 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
89 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
90 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
91 BAUER Hank E. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
92 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
93 SILVA Daniel 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 26% 4%
94 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
95 KIM Matthew 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
96 REYES Kyle 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
97 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
98 SCHARDINE Ryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
99 SCHERER Max 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
100 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
101 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
102 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 5% -
103 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
104 ESCUETA Jr Antonio V. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
104 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
106 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
107 HONG Steven 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
108 LU Caleb Q. 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
109 CHENG Kyle 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
110 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
111 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
112 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 87% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
113 GOLD Jackson 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
114 PALMA Benedict-Gillian 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
115 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
116 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
117 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
117 BAILEY Nate 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
117 CHEN Andrew 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
120 CHENG Albert 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
121 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
122 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 85% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
123 MCCONNELL Grady 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
124 MARGULIES William 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
125 REN Richard 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
126 XU Andrew 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
127 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
128 SAVOY Luca 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
129 ZHOU Hudson L. 100% 95% 63% 24% 4% - -
130 YOU Jaden 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
130 JANG Junhyuk 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
132 FERBER Oliver E. 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
133 MORALES Jonathan 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
134 SMITH Taggert 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
135 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
136 BESTMAN Willie D. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
136 YU Thomas 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
138 LAGASSE Jack T. 100% 18% 1% - - - -
139 TAN Darren 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
140 KILARI Krish 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
141 LIGUORI Michael 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% - -
142 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
142 CHENG Cody 100% 79% 42% 14% 3% - -
144 TRUONG Oliver 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
145 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
145 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
147 LEDERER Justin W. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
148 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
149 BONTS Nathaniel 100% 35% 5% - - - -
150 RICKERT Michael A. 100% 97% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
150 VELTZ Tyler J. 100% 40% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.