National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div III Men's Épée

Monday, July 12, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
2 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
3 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 20% 4%
5 WANG Tristan 100% 100% 97% 86% 61% 28% 6%
6 USHER Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 2%
7 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
8 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
9 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
10 KWONG Jason 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
11 WADE Grayson 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
12 LI Jalen 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
13 KUO Elvin 100% 100% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
14 FEINGERSCH Ariav (Ari) B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
15 LURVEY Samuel 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
16 BEAUCHAMP Reilly E. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
17 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 100% 99% 92% 72% 41% 14% 2%
18 ELYADERANI Paxon 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
19 STALL-RYAN Jonathan 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 3% -
20 CAO Albert 100% 98% 88% 63% 32% 9% 1%
21 LIM Joshua 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
22 ZHANG William 100% 100% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
23 SKAALAND Will 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
24 LI Patrick 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 14%
25 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
26 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
27 GREEN Ummi 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
28 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
29 SVIBEN Cameron 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
30 MORTON William 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
31 CHARLES Matthew J. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
32 GORTI Agustya 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
33 PATENAUDE Kameron 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
34 PRABHAKAR vibhav 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 2%
35 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
36 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
37 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
38 TAROLLI Alexander 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 5% -
39 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
40 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
41 SONG Ervin 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
42 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
42 WANG Clayton 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
44 MATTO Edward J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
45 KIM Ryan 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
46 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
47 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
48 LEE Chun Po 100% 97% 83% 51% 21% 5% -
49 GUNDA Saketh 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
50 BLUM Oliver 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
51 DUAN eric 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
52 JACKSON James 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
53 CHESNEY Aiden R. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
54 WONG KEVIN 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 4%
55 KENT Dwain 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
56 MAGDA Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
57 TIBBETTS Johnathan 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
58 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
59 DAVIS Jonah 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
60 LEVCHOOK Thomas 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1%
61 TAKATA Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 76% 45% 16% 3%
62 MELCHER Charles 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
63 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
64 LU Sebastian X. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
65 CHU Allan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
66 WENGER Caleb 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
67 KARKI Salyan 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 3%
68 CHEN Matthew 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
69 GREEN Jabreel 100% 100% 97% 87% 61% 28% 6%
70 WERCHAN Andrew R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
71 HEKMAT Sina R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
72 KHANNA Keshav 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
73 DAVIS Daniel 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
74 KENT Matthew 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1%
75 VAUGHN David 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
76 WANG Darren 100% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
77 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
78 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
79 KORTZ Austin 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
80 GU Brian 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 3% -
80 CHOE Andrew 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
82 RYAN Christopher 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
82 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
84 REELS Eric J. 100% 99% 92% 71% 40% 13% 2%
84 ALTUVE Alejandro J. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
86 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
87 BHARGAV Siddharth 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
88 REITINGER Luke M. 100% 79% 32% 6% 1% - -
89 SEELEY Charlie 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
90 LI Jeffrey 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
91 QUITORIANO Jonathan 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
92 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
93 TERRANOVA JOBIN 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
94 DIVERIS Joseph 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
95 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
96 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
97 LAING Christopher 100% 87% 44% 12% 2% -
98 DAO Alexander 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 8% 1%
99 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
100 LIM Matthew T. 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 3% -
101 PARKS Isaac 100% 89% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
102 SAN JUAN Carlos 100% 98% 87% 61% 30% 9% 1%
103 COMER Alexander J. 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
104 WANG Aidan 100% 92% 64% 28% 8% 1% -
105 SCHARF Ryan 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
106 WHITE Chance N. 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
106 SERAFIN Ben 100% 98% 86% 59% 28% 8% 1%
108 KOPPE Benjamin 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
109 MARSH Alex 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
110 WANG Kevin 100% 54% 16% 3% - - -
110 LAING Flynt 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
112 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 94% 73% 40% 13% 3% -
113 RIDLEY Alan P. 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
114 COSTA joao 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
115 BYARS John 100% 31% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.