Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
2 FENG Leo 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
3 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
3 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
5 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
6 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
7 LEE Justin 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
8 PAN Andrew W. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
9 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
10 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 9%
11 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
12 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
13 AN Damon 100% 100% 99% 85% 45% 8%
14 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
15 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
16 MOOREHEAD Patrick 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1%
17 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
18 FORT David 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% -
19 CLARK Keagan 100% 39% 6% < 1% - - -
20 WU Richard 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
21 WALKE Devin 100% 93% 59% 17% 2% -
22 MAY Griffin M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
23 LEVY Jacob 100% 87% 47% 11% 1% -
24 OLIVER Isaac 100% 88% 49% 12% 1% -
25 BALDWIN Michael B. 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% -
26 KLEBS Robert 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
27 FARAON Paulus 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
28 VAUGHN Jason 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
29 LOWHAM-RUZZO Alexander J. 100% 98% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
30 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
31 OTT Alexander 100% 55% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.