The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Ian C. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
2 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 28%
3 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
3 LEE Samuel Y. 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
5 WOZNIAK Fryderyk - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
6 MURPHY Thomas P. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 4%
7 HENSAL Nicolas A. - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
8 CAO Brad 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
9 KROPP Jack - - - - 5% 31% 63%
10 LEE Daniel Y. - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
11 O'CONNOR Riley 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% 1%
12 NORTH Alexander M. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
13 BERNARD Jack B. 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
14 CHONG christopher - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
15 CHEN Eric - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
16 CAO Albert - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
17 LEE Shwan - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
18 SU Caleb - - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
19 JONES Tyler - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 1%
20 HILBERT Gabriel E. - 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
21 WANG Clayton - 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
22 LEONE III Charles D. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
23 CHAMBLISS Logan C. - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
24 CHAWLA Armaan - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
25 WANG Trontour 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
26 LIN Harrison 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
27 KWOUN Miles S. 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
28 SINFUEGO Adrian 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
29 LEE JoonWon 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
30 JANG Elliot - 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 3%
31 KIM Dylan J. - - 3% 17% 37% 34% 8%
32 JACKSON James - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
33 WOLFE Alex - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
34 TREBON Hayden - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
34 POIST Wylie 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
36 DUAN eric - 1% 6% 20% 38% 30% 5%
37 VACCARO Dominick J. 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
38 USDIN Anton 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
39 ILYAS Zakariya 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
40 DAVIS Jonah 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
41 BECK James 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
42 HEADRICK Lance 4% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
43 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
44 GANTSOUDES Isaac 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
45 JORDAN Anton - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
46 FU Ethan 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
47 BANNEN Nicholas 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
48 SINGH Aryaman 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
49 MADANI Faris 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
50 MODULLA Yathin 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
51 ZHANG Caden 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
52 MARGHUB Safi 5% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
52 MING Isaac 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
54 CHEN Brian 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
55 PENHOET Adrien E. 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
56 GRENKE Wyatt 24% 51% 21% 3% - - -
57 PENNINGTON digges 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
58 TIRADO Giancarlo 48% 42% 9% 1% - - -
59 ZHANG Richard 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
60 CHENH Justin 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
61 PETRUNKO Kyrylo 17% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
62 ZHANG Andy 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
63 RUIZ Jayden 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.