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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, December 18, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Natasha - - 2% 17% 49% 32%
2 NEMETH Katherine - - 2% 16% 45% 36%
3 HAFEEZ Hania - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
3 YAO Melinda - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
5 NIX Reagan - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
6 LEE Olivia - 1% 7% 27% 42% 24%
7 SKOURLETOS Angelina - 2% 16% 36% 35% 11%
8 ENRILE Erica 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
9 LEE REGINA - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
10 HAYNES Antonia - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 7%
11 POTAPENKO Margarita D. - - 1% 14% 47% 38%
12 CAFASSO Natalya - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
13 HAFEEZ Hiba - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
14 BECKMAN Ana - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
15 HSIU Elizabeth 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
16 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 2% 17% 43% 32% 7% -
17 WANG Angelina - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
18 BARG Daniella - - 5% 26% 46% 22%
19 SENYUVA Su - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
20 YERIAN Ayda - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
21 STERR Isabella M. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
21 LEE Camilla - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
23 WANG Ziqi 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
24 YOUNG VIVIAN 1% 12% 38% 37% 12% 1%
25 BARG Margaret 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
26 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
27 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
28 HUANG Lanlan 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
29 HAN Hannah Y. 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
30 YILMAZ Pinar 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
31 WANG Victoria 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
32 PHUKAN Indra 1% 11% 37% 39% 11% 1%
33 XU Katelyn - 8% 33% 41% 16% 2%
34 SHIV Avni - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
35 GEVA Eliana - 7% 27% 39% 23% 5%
36 COLINA UZCÁTEGUI gabriela - 2% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
37 GUO Luxi 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
38 IYER Ishana 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
39 QIAN Irene 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
40 VARAN Kateryna 59% 34% 6% - - -
41 READ Lyla 3% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
42 LISCUM Vivian 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 2% -
43 VAN VACTER Madelynn 1% 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
44 SHEN Yongen 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
45 MCCREIGHT Geneva 11% 41% 34% 12% 2% -
46 BLANCO Ariia 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
47 JIANG Xinchen 61% 33% 5% - - -
48 CHUANG Ramona 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
49 MCQUEEN Morgan 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
50 MIRZA Annoshae 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
51 LEE Yeriel 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
52 KANASKAR Ila 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
53 ELTERMAN Kate 14% 46% 31% 8% 1% - -
54 BEATIE Isabella M. 10% 46% 35% 8% 1% -
55 THOMAS Alice 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
56 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
57 MCCREIGHT Elena 13% 48% 31% 7% 1% -
58 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 36% 42% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.