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Junior Men's Foil

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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	AHN Jun	-	1%	8%	28%	42%	21%
2	PYO Michael M.	-	-	-	3%	17%	41%	38%
3	BELLUOMO David C.	-	1%	11%	36%	39%	14%
3	ANTON Nathaniel	-	4%	21%	37%	27%	9%	1%
5	BUERGIN Aidan	-	2%	14%	36%	36%	12%
6	WAN Jason	-	-	4%	17%	36%	32%	10%
7	LI Eric	-	4%	20%	39%	30%	8%
8	TIAN Yuzhe (Charlie)	-	4%	22%	43%	27%	4%
9	LIN Richard W.	-	-	1%	12%	41%	46%
10	FU Samuel Y.	-	1%	7%	26%	45%	22%
11	MONTALVO-ZOTTER Gabriel M.	-	-	8%	32%	42%	17%
12	TSIMIKLIS Yanni	-	1%	10%	28%	37%	20%	4%
13	LIN James G.	-	9%	33%	37%	17%	3%
14	LUH Ethan K.	-	1%	6%	23%	37%	26%	6%
15	DU Samuel R.	-	-	4%	19%	37%	30%	9%
16	LIU Eric Y.	2%	20%	43%	28%	6%	-
17	KWON Ethan	-	-	1%	7%	26%	42%	25%
18	RUSADZE Nickolas	-	-	1%	8%	27%	41%	23%
19	SHA Yi Peng	-	1%	11%	36%	40%	12%
20	ZELTSER Lawrence M.	-	-	4%	19%	45%	32%
21	GAO William	-	2%	13%	32%	34%	16%	2%
22	HAN Lawrence	1%	9%	29%	36%	20%	5%	-
23	BING Charles	-	-	8%	32%	42%	18%
24	BOBROW Logan	-	1%	9%	26%	37%	22%	5%
25	SIMA Congyu Josh	-	10%	30%	35%	20%	5%	-
26	PAN Eric	1%	10%	30%	35%	19%	5%	-
27	GUPTA Varun	-	2%	15%	34%	33%	14%	2%
28	CAI Oliver K.	-	8%	29%	37%	20%	5%	-
29	MENG Zhaoyi	3%	17%	36%	32%	11%	1%
30	QI Steve	10%	32%	37%	17%	3%	-
31	BOOTSMA Shane-Anson	-	5%	34%	41%	17%	3%
32	BADLANI Dev	12%	35%	35%	15%	2%	-
33	SONG Bryan	11%	43%	35%	10%	1%	-
34	ZHUANG Chuanxuan	23%	61%	15%	1%	-	-
35	TOMLINSON Clayton	75%	22%	2%	-	-	-
36	POPE Alexander	59%	35%	6%	-	-	-
37	WANG Winston	15%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-
38	KALIPERSAD Neil A.	4%	36%	40%	17%	3%	-	-
39	PO Oliver	4%	26%	39%	23%	7%	1%	-
39	SHIKHMANQ Lennon	6%	28%	40%	21%	5%	-	-
41	ZHAO Jesse	5%	41%	38%	14%	2%	-
42	FRANK Amir	66%	32%	2%	-	-	-
43	TSAI William	83%	16%	1%	-	-	-	-
44	LIU Jeremiah	68%	30%	2%	-	-	-	-
44	GRANADOS Luis	64%	30%	5%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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