The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

NEUSFA Jack Norton Hangover Open

Senior Men's Foil

Sunday, March 7, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - - 3% 27% 69%
2 LI Brandon H. - - - - 2% 22% 75%
3 LIU Patrick - - - 6% 33% 61%
3 LI Richard - - 2% 12% 38% 41% 7%
5 DU Samuel R. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
6 DEGREMONT Henri S. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
7 YANG Adam - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
8 KAO Castor T. - - 2% 19% 43% 32% 4%
9 SHA Yi Peng - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
10 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 5% 27% 44% 22% 2%
11 BING Charles 2% 13% 34% 37% 13% 1%
12 WU Alexander - 1% 8% 28% 42% 19% 2%
13 JIMENEZ Diran - 2% 12% 36% 41% 9%
14 PAN Eric 15% 38% 34% 12% 1% -
15 QI Steve 6% 30% 44% 17% 3% - -
16 ZHENG Zhe 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
17 SANTULLI Tristan 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% -
18 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 1% 12% 38% 37% 11% 1%
19 ACHILOV Sayid 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1% -
20 SIMA Congyu Josh 24% 47% 24% 4% - - -
21 LI Eric - 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
22 ZHAO Jesse 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1% -
23 LI Ayren 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
24 REN Bingye 92% 8% - - - - -
25 MENG Zhaoyi 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
26 HOWARD Michael 1% 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
27 BAO Chris W. 34% 46% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.