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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Enoch A. - - - - 2% 25% 73%
2 MITCHELL Philip D. - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
3 BING Charles - - 5% 25% 49% 20%
3 KWON Ethan - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
5 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - - 4% 27% 57% 12%
6 XIAO Ethan J. - - - - 2% 24% 75%
7 SCHENCK Koen M. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
8 LI Eric - 6% 29% 40% 22% 4%
9 SHA Yi Peng - 3% 18% 39% 31% 9%
10 LI Owen - - - 5% 31% 53% 11%
11 KAO Castor T. - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
12 HOWARD Michael - 2% 16% 40% 35% 7% -
13 ACHILOV Sayid - 5% 26% 41% 24% 4%
14 FU Yifan - 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
15 JIN Dennis H. 2% 19% 43% 29% 7% - -
16 QI Steve 1% 8% 34% 42% 13% 1% -
17 BROWN Alexander R. 2% 16% 39% 33% 9% 1%
18 ALIMI Yacine A. 1% 9% 33% 38% 17% 2%
19 NAGER Noah - 2% 13% 36% 37% 11%
20 LI Arvin 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
21 GONG Benjamin - - 6% 27% 47% 18% 1%
22 MILLER Aidan A. 2% 44% 39% 13% 2% -
23 KLEIN Sebastian W. 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
24 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
25 KITAGAWA Eric S. 4% 23% 41% 26% 5% -
26 LACHAPELLE Cole 59% 34% 7% 1% - - -
27 ZHANG Zixuan "Mark" 8% 41% 38% 12% 1% - -
28 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. - 4% 23% 42% 26% 4% -
29 ZHAO Jesse 9% 35% 39% 16% 2% -
30 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 2% 17% 38% 33% 10%
31 PITERBARG Maxim 2% 17% 42% 32% 7% - -
32 WU Michael 48% 41% 10% 1% - -
33 GARDOS Noah 11% 47% 34% 8% 1% - -
34 BAO Chris W. 20% 49% 26% 5% - -
35 DAVIDSON Elliot 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
36 BAUMANN Gunnar 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
37 REN Bingye 93% 7% - - - -
38 HOLCOMB Cedric 65% 30% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.