The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Div I-A Men's Saber

Friday, June 18, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AYMAN Mostafa - - - 4% 24% 46% 26%
2 KARAM Tariq A. - - - 1% 7% 32% 61%
3 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
3 JEAN Noe T. - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
5 FENG Leo - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
6 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
7 SIMAK Joseph P. - 6% 27% 43% 20% 4% -
8 ZHENG Edward L. 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
9 STONE Esmond A. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
10 LAI Adam J. - - 2% 16% 40% 33% 9%
11 GHENEA George Philipe - 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
12 FENKER William M. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 1%
13 MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2%
14 HUANG Ethan F. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
15 WU Yiyang 11% 43% 34% 11% 2% - -
16 MATT Chris - - 1% 10% 32% 42% 15%
17 BASALYGA Jeffrey - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
18 WOODWARD Connor - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
19 CHEONG Heonjae 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
20 PAN Andrew W. 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
21 CHIN Matthew W. - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
22 OVERDECK Andrew - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
23 GILMORE Thomas W. 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
24 THORNTON Ronald J. - - - 5% 27% 45% 22%
25 LI Joshua L. 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
26 MCCARTHY Gabriel 6% 31% 42% 18% 3% - -
27 FERBER Oliver E. 5% 30% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
28 LIU Mingyang Ryan 11% 39% 36% 11% 1% - -
29 AN Damon 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
30 LEONARD Cole 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
31 FORT David 47% 38% 12% 2% - - -
32 KORINTH Alexander J. 44% 42% 13% 1% - - -
33 KLEBS Robert 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
34 BAKER Keith L. 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
35 KORINTH Steve 66% 30% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.