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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

May NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Saturday, May 8, 2021 at 2:00 PM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUBROVICH Jacqueline - - - - 2% 21% 77%
2 WEINTRAUB Maia M. - - - - 3% 23% 74%
3 ROSS Nicole - - - - 1% 15% 84%
3 SCRUGGS Lauren S. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
5 TAFFEL sara - - 2% 12% 41% 45%
6 KOO Haley B. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
7 MARINELLI Ever - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
8 CHENG Evelyn - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
9 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
9 YAROSHENKO Karina - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
11 TAN Helen - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
12 DESCHNER Stefani K. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
13 LUNG Katerina - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
14 LEE Alina - 1% 5% 19% 37% 32% 8%
15 LEE Allison (Allie) - - 4% 20% 41% 31% 2%
16 JING Emily - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
17 CHO Sabrina N. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
17 RHODES Zander - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
19 BINDER Sylvie A. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
20 MINARIK Natalie M. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
21 ZHENG Ivy - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
22 CHUSID Mikayla 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
23 HE Elizabeth W. - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
24 APELIAN Katherine - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
25 TIEU May L. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
25 CAO Arianna L. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
27 HOOSHI Erica S. - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20% 2%
28 KIM Rachael - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
29 SERBAN Samantha M. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 5%
30 KONG Chin-Yi 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
31 CHUSID Renata M. - 2% 12% 33% 40% 12%
32 DAVIA Daniella V. 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 4% -
33 JING Alexandra - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
34 LI Phoebe J. 4% 23% 39% 27% 7% 1%
35 KONG Olivia 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
36 LAM Justina - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
37 EYER Hailey M. 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
38 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
39 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
39 LOCKE Savannah 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
41 CHEN Allison V. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
42 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. - - 4% 16% 36% 35% 10%
43 CHEN Jia P. 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8% -
44 MASSICK Laine - 3% 15% 32% 34% 14% 1%
45 STAMOS Maria - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
46 LEE Paulina 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
47 YU Lauren C. 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
48 KOO Rachel A. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
49 LESLIE Ryanne T. - 2% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
50 KNIGHT Skylar - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
51 LI Rachel Y. 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
52 BREKER Anika - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
53 JO Mia C. - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 1%
53 CHOI Lenna K. - 1% 5% 21% 40% 30% 3%
55 PARK Rowan M. 1% 6% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2%
56 SHEN Sophia H. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
57 KIM Katherine 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
58 XU Christine 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
59 LI Grace Q. 2% 13% 36% 35% 13% 1%
60 GRIFFIN Emma G. 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
61 GONG Christina S. - 5% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
62 QIAN Crystal - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
63 ZHENG Vivian - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
64 CASTANEDA Erika L. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
65 HALL Velma - 3% 15% 35% 33% 12% 1%
66 LEE Brianna J. 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
67 YHIP Mikaela M. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
68 SARTORI Taylor M. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
69 KOKES Gabrielle 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
70 PEVZNER Victoria 2% 13% 35% 35% 13% 1%
71 MILLER Naomi E. 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1% -
72 FREEDMAN Miranda W. - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14% 1%
73 GUERRA Sofia E. 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
74 SHAW Kayla M. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
75 HO Brianna W. 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
76 WANG Ellen 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
77 LI Meilin 4% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
78 FERRARI Christina M. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
79 PERLMAN Talia 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
80 SENIC Adeline - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
81 CEPERO Rosabel 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
82 KHOO Lauren A. 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
83 DUAN Konnie 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
84 LEE Bethany W. 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
85 JANG Kimberley 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
86 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
87 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
88 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
89 DEBACK Greta I. 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
90 ADAMS KIM Natalie 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
90 WEINTRAUB Io H. 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
92 CHO Cameron S. 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
93 PAHLAVI Dahlia 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
94 KLINE Melissa C. 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
95 XUE Alanna L. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
96 SOOD Ishani S. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
97 CHO Taylor S. 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
98 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
99 KOENIG Charlotte R. 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
99 TALWALKAR Apoorva 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
101 HUANG NATALIE 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
102 HUNG Juliana K. - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18% 2%
102 YU Seneca 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
104 SHEN Lydia 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
105 DE LA CRUZ Eden 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
106 CHO Gracie L. 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
107 YE Eileen 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
108 ZHAO Sophie L. 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
108 SHIH Diane 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
110 RENTON Samantha 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
111 KOROL Dana 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
112 FERNANDES Thea 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% - -
113 SUN Chien-Yu 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
114 SEAL Julie T. 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
115 OH Erin H. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
115 HECKMANN Emma 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
117 COSTELLO Angeline S. 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
118 PROCOPIO Lucia 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
119 KOROL Neta 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
120 GU EMILY 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
121 DRAGNE Alexis D. 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
122 FERGUSON Diane F. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
123 ZHAO Aileen Y. 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.