The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

May NAC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, May 9, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCRUGGS Lauren S. - - - - 3% 23% 74%
2 TAN Helen - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
3 MARINELLI Ever - - - 4% 30% 65%
3 CHO Sabrina N. - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
5 KONG Chin-Yi - 4% 17% 36% 33% 11%
6 HUNG Juliana K. - - 5% 21% 41% 29% 4%
7 HO Brianna W. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
8 JING Emily - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
9 WEINTRAUB Maia M. - - - - 3% 26% 70%
10 HE Elizabeth W. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
11 PEVZNER Victoria - - 8% 32% 40% 18% 2%
12 WANG Ellen - - 2% 15% 46% 32% 6%
13 CHUSID Mikayla - 2% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
14 LESLIE Ryanne T. - - 2% 15% 38% 37% 8%
15 CHOI Lenna K. - - 2% 11% 32% 41% 14%
16 APELIAN Katherine - - 8% 35% 47% 10%
17 RHODES Zander - - - - 5% 31% 64%
18 PARK Rowan M. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
19 CHUSID Renata M. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
20 CHENG Evelyn - - 4% 22% 46% 27%
21 KOO Rachel A. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
22 LEE Allison (Allie) - - - 4% 29% 48% 19%
23 FERRARI Christina M. - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18%
24 YAROSHENKO Karina - - - 1% 11% 43% 45%
25 KIM Rachael - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
26 JO Mia C. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
27 LEE Alina - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
28 KOO Haley B. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
29 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
30 LI Grace Q. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
31 QIAN Crystal - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
32 CAO Arianna L. - - 7% 30% 41% 20% 1%
33 LEE Paulina - 3% 23% 48% 24% 2%
34 KNIGHT Skylar - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
35 STAMOS Maria - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
35 KLINE Melissa C. - 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
37 LAM Justina - - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
38 LEE Brianna J. - 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 3%
39 GONG Christina S. 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 6%
40 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) - 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
41 ZHENG Ivy - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
42 SHEN Lydia 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
43 HECKMANN Emma - 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
44 HOOSHI Erica S. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 5%
45 CHO Gracie L. - 3% 33% 42% 19% 3% -
46 FREEDMAN Miranda W. - - 5% 23% 42% 26% 3%
47 CHEN Jia P. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
48 KOKES Gabrielle - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
49 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
50 LI Phoebe J. 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4%
51 GRIFFIN Emma G. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
52 FERNANDES Thea 2% 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
53 BREKER Anika - - 4% 20% 42% 30% 4%
54 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
55 EYER Hailey M. 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3% -
56 GUERRA Sofia E. - 5% 22% 40% 26% 6% -
57 LUNG Katerina - - 8% 31% 41% 19% 1%
58 ZHENG Vivian - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
59 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
60 RENTON Samantha 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
61 ADAMS KIM Natalie 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
62 SERBAN Samantha M. 1% 7% 27% 39% 23% 5%
63 SHEN Sophia H. - 1% 7% 27% 41% 22% 2%
64 HUANG NATALIE 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
65 LEE Bethany W. 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
66 JING Alexandra - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
67 LIU Jaelyn A. - 6% 31% 40% 19% 4% -
68 YHIP Mikaela M. 2% 14% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
69 MILLER Naomi E. - 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
70 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 1% 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
71 KONG Olivia - 3% 23% 41% 26% 7% 1%
72 BOLES Sophia 3% 28% 46% 21% 3% - -
73 HALL Velma - 3% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
74 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
75 KOENIG Charlotte R. 2% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1%
76 CASTANEDA Erika L. 1% 12% 36% 37% 13% 2%
76 LI Rachel Y. 1% 15% 48% 31% 6% -
78 SHAW Kayla M. 3% 28% 42% 22% 4% -
79 YU Seneca 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
79 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 1% 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% -
81 YIN Helen 5% 30% 41% 19% 4% - -
82 WONG Sophia M. 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
83 ZHAO Sophie L. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
84 MCKEE Alexandra K. 4% 36% 43% 15% 1% - -
85 WEINTRAUB Io H. 5% 30% 41% 20% 4% - -
86 XUE Alanna L. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
87 SHIH Diane - 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
88 COSTELLO Angeline S. 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
89 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
90 DE LA CRUZ Eden 17% 43% 30% 9% 1% -
91 ASCHETTINO Aurora 83% 16% 1% - - -
92 KHOO Lauren A. 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
93 LOCKE Savannah 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
94 SOLDATOVA Maria 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
95 WU Irene M. 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
96 KOROL Neta - 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
97 PANT Anisha 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
98 BOODELL Ella 2% 19% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
98 JANG Kimberley 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
100 KOROL Dana - 8% 33% 44% 14% 1% -
101 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 58% 35% 7% 1% - - -
102 WANDJI Anais 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
103 YE Eileen 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
104 CEPERO Rosabel - 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
104 SCHMIDT Victoria 72% 24% 3% - - - -
106 KOSLOW Amicie 12% 42% 33% 10% 1% - -
107 HSIUNG Samantha 15% 57% 24% 4% - - -
108 QIAN Zhiyan 34% 59% 6% - - - -
109 TALWALKAR Apoorva 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
110 DRAGNE Alexis D. 7% 56% 31% 5% - -
111 YU Lauren C. 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
111 SULEIMAN Alena J. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
111 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 70% 28% 2% - - - -
114 PENG Amber L. 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% - -
115 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
116 MEYER Claudia 58% 39% 2% - - - -
117 YANIV Liya 97% 3% - - - - -
118 SIMPSON Lydia Q. 71% 25% 3% - - -
119 ZAMELIS Madelyn 74% 23% 2% - - - -
120 STONE Madelyn L. 95% 5% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.