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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Remenyik ROC and RJCC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Evanston, IL - Evanston, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. - 1% 8% 33% 44% 15%
2 BIASCO Anna - - 5% 26% 45% 25%
3 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
3 TALAVERA Daena - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
5 FILBY Sarah M. - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
6 SENIC Adeline - 4% 20% 37% 30% 8%
7 MOON Elina C. 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4%
8 LUO ZIWEN 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
9 LEE Yejine - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
10 SUN Ruoxi - 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
11 ZHAO Sophie L. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
12 GRIFFIN Emma G. - - 5% 22% 42% 30%
13 CASTANEDA Erika L. - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
14 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
15 KOSTELNY Alexis - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
16 PARK Rowan M. - 3% 19% 43% 30% 6%
17 LEE Brianna J. - 1% 7% 32% 43% 18%
18 CHEN Alyssa J. - - - 6% 33% 61%
19 DEBACK Greta I. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
20 JIA Amy - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
21 SLADE Mycah R. 2% 26% 44% 23% 4% -
22 TAN Clarisse 3% 25% 40% 25% 6% 1%
23 SARTORI Taylor M. - 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
24 GUERRA Sofia E. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
25 TALWALKAR Apoorva 4% 23% 40% 25% 6% -
26 SHALANSKY Julia B. - 1% 10% 36% 40% 14%
27 KLINE Melissa C. - 2% 15% 38% 37% 7%
28 CHEN Jessie S. 1% 9% 29% 40% 19% 2%
29 TONG Ophelia - 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1%
30 DE LA CRUZ Eden 1% 9% 30% 37% 20% 4%
31 UPTON Elizabeth 2% 20% 47% 26% 5% -
32 ZHANG Rongrui 30% 44% 22% 4% - -
33 CROMPTON Celia N. - - 5% 22% 39% 29% 6%
34 NAMGALAURI Mariam 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
35 DU Hannah 3% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1%
36 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% -
37 BANIN Isabelle J. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
38 WEBB Ella 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
39 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 2% 35% 45% 16% 2% -
40 MAO Rebecca J. 11% 50% 32% 6% - -
40 BIODROWICZ Julia 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
42 ZHENG yuqi 8% 33% 36% 17% 4% 1% -
43 EUH Jayme 71% 28% 2% - - - -
44 VELAZQUEZ Rosa T. 68% 29% 3% - - -
45 WATERS Samantha M. 73% 24% 3% - - -
45 HIRSCH Sophie A. 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
47 PARK Leah 87% 12% - - - -
48 HUMBERT Heather 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
49 KELLEY Sophia 12% 46% 35% 7% - - -
49 FISHER Racheal 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.