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October NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Friday, October 29, 2021 at 1:30 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. - - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
2 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. - - - - 6% 32% 62%
3 LIU Charlene (Kai) - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
5 RIZZI Andrea - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 8%
6 CEBULA Anne - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
7 GRADY Miriam A. - - 1% 5% 24% 46% 24%
8 HSIEH Kaylin - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
9 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
10 VERRET Alexanne 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
11 CHORNIY Kateryna - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
12 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
13 MEHROTRA Anya 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
14 BASSA Francesca A. - - - 3% 24% 73%
15 KIM Zoe L. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
16 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
17 MANGANO Ariana J. - - 2% 13% 35% 40% 9%
18 BOTVINNIK Yana - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
19 KETKAR Ketki - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
20 MILLETTE Marie Frederique - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 3%
21 PARK Faith K. - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
22 KHROL Jaclyn - 1% 7% 26% 40% 24% 3%
23 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
24 KOLLAR Kincso - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
25 GAVRIELKO Nikol - 1% 7% 23% 39% 28% 2%
26 MACHULSKY Leehi - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
27 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
28 LEE Sumin - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 5%
29 BEI Karen - 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
30 LIPTHAY Hanna 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
31 ISERT Sarah 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
32 REID Sobia 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
33 JOYCE Michaela - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
34 LURYE Sarah - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
35 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
36 TOBY Natalia R. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
37 KETKAR Mallika - 4% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
38 LOMBARD Ella 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
39 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 9%
39 ZHU Chenxi (Heidi) 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
41 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
42 ZHANG Victoria R. 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
43 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 2% 19% 40% 30% 8% -
44 ROSS Naomi O. - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
45 HAMILTON Pauline S. 1% 11% 35% 38% 14% 1%
46 HILL Gabrielle (Gabby) M. 6% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
47 DORVAL Anne-Marie 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
47 LEONARD Ariane - 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 3%
49 PATURU Meghana - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
50 KUZNETSOV Victoria 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
51 CHIN Isabella - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
52 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
53 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 9% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
54 WANG Karen - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
55 HU Grace - 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
56 WEISS Talia L. 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 9% 1%
57 ZHENG Evelyn - 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
58 LIU Christina A. - 5% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
58 CHAN Cheri K. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
60 OXENREIDER Tierna A. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 5%
61 LEANG Priscilla Y. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
62 KALE Anika A. 8% 35% 38% 16% 2% -
63 SUN Renee R. 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
64 FILIPPOV Nika D. 10% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
65 NGUYEN Tallulah 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
66 SCHMIDT Lori M. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
67 WANG Elizabeth - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
68 WASHINGTON Isis - - - - 5% 32% 62%
68 PEHLIVANI Zara 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
70 PARK Yoohyun (Sarah) 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
71 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
72 GAJJALA Sharika R. 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
73 MALDONADO Pilar I. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
74 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
75 MAO Amy 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
76 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
77 BOYS Nishta B. - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
78 GUMAGAY Erika L. 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
79 GU Sarah 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
80 GARINA Ania (Ganusia) - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20% 3%
81 LEE Michelle J. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 6%
82 LIN Jessica Y. - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
83 NGUYEN Kira 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
83 LUO Ashley 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
85 LIN Katie Y. - 1% 12% 32% 37% 17% 2%
85 KIM Elizabeth Y. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
87 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
88 IGOE Nirali B. 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
88 REID Anousheh 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
90 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
91 DONDISCH Sophia 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
92 PADHYE Tanishka 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
93 NING Emma 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
94 DAVIS Jessica L. 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
95 LIN Waiyuk 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
96 TYLER Syd 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 10% 1%
97 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
98 RUNIONS Emersyn 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
99 DESAI Meera P. 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
99 LEE Olive 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
101 WANG Nora 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
102 WATRALL Christina - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
103 CALDERA Lexi I. 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
104 WU Fan 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
104 CHEN Lefu 2% 15% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
106 PAPADAKIS Lily 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6% -
107 JURADO Daniela 8% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
108 BOTNER Olivia 10% 52% 30% 7% 1% - -
109 CAMPOS ESQUIVEL Andrea 15% 35% 31% 15% 4% - -
110 SMUK Daria A. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
111 GANDHI Sedna S. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
112 BOUDREAU Justine - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
113 AHUJA Arianna 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
114 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
115 ZENG Katrina 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
116 CHERNIS Zoe C. 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
117 YU Nicole J. 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
118 CAPELLUA Mariasole 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
119 LONADIER Keira 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 1% -
120 WU Amelia - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
121 KIM Jayna 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
122 NEMETH Katherine 6% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
123 LI Alisha 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
124 LEE Yedda 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
125 LEUNG Natalie 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
126 SHEN Stephanie 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
126 FENG ge 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
128 KORFONTA Jolie 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
129 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
130 KOMAR Sofia - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
131 LORD Sarah-Eve 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
132 RUEDA Rylie - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
133 TAO Olivia A. 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
134 PINNAMANENI Drithi 76% 23% 2% - - - -
135 FALLON Kyle R. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
136 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
137 BUCKINGHAM Emma N. 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
138 TIMMONS Sarah J. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
139 GAO Judy 14% 46% 31% 8% 1% - -
140 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
140 SZEWC Alexandra 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
140 CALDERARO Margherita - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
143 BEITTEL Chloe F. < 1% 3% 17% 40% 34% 5%
144 BROWN Hannah 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
145 FELAND Alexandra 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
146 MCLANE Lauren 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
146 MING Cynthia 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
148 PEELER Julia 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
149 RUSSELL Renata 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
150 SLACKMAN Valerie 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
151 SMOTRITSKY Mia 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.