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October NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Saturday, October 30, 2021 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
2 ELSISSY Ziad A. - - - - 1% 11% 89%
3 SHAINBERG Jonah L. - - - - 3% 24% 74%
3 FERJANI fares - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
5 DODDO Andrew - - - 1% 10% 42% 47%
6 COHEN Josef A. - - - - 6% 33% 61%
7 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
8 LIANG Connor - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
9 MORRILL William 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
10 ARMIJO Gabriel K. - - - 4% 23% 45% 27%
11 HARLEY Colby A. - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
12 JI Cody Walter - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
13 BENAVRAM Lev C. - 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
14 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. - - 1% 8% 29% 45% 17%
15 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
16 LINSKY Matthew 1% 11% 34% 38% 14% 1%
17 SHACHANIN Searhei - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
18 BOOTH Zaheer - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
19 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 3% 16% 39% 37% 5%
20 FIELDS Malcolm D. - - - 5% 31% 64%
21 GEFELL Andrew P. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
22 BOLTON Braydon A. 2% 12% 30% 35% 19% 4%
23 KIM Stephen E. - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 6%
24 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. - - 1% 8% 30% 43% 17%
25 KUSHKOV Simon O. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
25 CHAN Matthew 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
27 HUSSAIN Faaris - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2%
28 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
29 PRIEST Leighton K. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
30 XU William 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
31 HONG Marshall Q. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
32 SOHN Kevin J. - 6% 21% 36% 28% 9%
33 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - 1% 7% 31% 44% 18%
34 WALKER Christopher J. - - - 1% 8% 41% 51%
35 BRAR Sanjeet 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
36 TE VELDE Noah C. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
37 SMITH Jared C. - - - 3% 19% 54% 25%
38 FERJANI Ahmed 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
39 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 2% 13% 34% 37% 13% 1%
40 MOON Sean H. - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
41 SIMAK Joseph P. 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% -
42 DINU Nicholas D. - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
43 KULDELL Spencer D. - 2% 15% 38% 38% 8%
44 JOHNSON Andrew J. - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
45 CHOI HYUNSEOK - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
46 SKEETE Kamar A. - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
47 DESROSIERS Olivier - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10% 1%
48 ZHOU Matthew R. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
49 YANG Ziyi 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
50 SWARTZ Roscoe O. - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
51 CHAYEVSKY Kirk - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 8%
52 SIERADZKY Dawson - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
52 PAN Jerry 2% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
54 JEAN Noe T. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
55 HONG Vincent Q. 10% 34% 36% 17% 4% -
56 FOTIYEV Alan R. - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
57 DHINGRA Gian K. - 4% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
58 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
59 BIERNACKI Maciej L. - - 2% 13% 37% 37% 12%
60 WOOD Elden S. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
61 SINGER Carson - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
62 WANG Eric Y. 4% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
63 YEN Darren - 1% 11% 35% 43% 11%
64 DIACOS Jordan 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
65 NIL Michael Y. 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
66 LUKASHENKO Darii 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
67 TRAVERS Samir T. - 3% 15% 36% 34% 11%
68 LILOV Neil - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
69 LIMB Matthew G. - 2% 14% 36% 34% 12% 1%
70 NOBLE Daniel 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 3% -
71 ERMAKOV Lev 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
72 ZHENG Edward L. 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
73 JINICH Ilan R. 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
74 MEHTA Sachin N. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
75 HARVEY Nicholas J. 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
76 CHON Taylor A. 7% 29% 38% 20% 5% -
77 DODRILL Grant 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
78 HO Kaden M. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
79 CHIN Matthew W. 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
80 MICHELL Bailey 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
81 WILSON Jude 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
82 WALKER Dalton F. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
82 HAST Kern R. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
84 RAI Avin 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
85 HAMMERSTROM Jared 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
86 BARBER William S. 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
87 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 8% 34% 39% 16% 3% - -
88 WOODWARD Connor 6% 26% 39% 24% 5% - -
89 LUEBBE Macklan C 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
90 HOUTZ Jackson 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
91 MORRILL Justin 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
92 MCPHEDRAN Spencer 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
93 YUN Jaesun 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
94 SCHERER Max 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
95 SAKHAMURI Surya - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
96 KARAM Tariq A. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
97 LE Hayden 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
98 HAN Daniel Y. 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
99 XUE ALEXANDER 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
100 JIANG Anthony 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
101 ATTIG Will T. - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
101 BERRIO Carter E. 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
103 DU Gavin J. 27% 43% 24% 6% - -
104 WIND Nicky E. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12% 1%
105 SO Hananiah 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
106 LIN John A. - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16% 1%
107 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
108 BERMAN Luca 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
109 YUN Jake 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
109 BARTOLO Domenic V. 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
109 BEITEL Noah 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
112 REN Richard 39% 42% 16% 2% - - -
113 GRUBE Sterling T. - 3% 14% 34% 34% 13% 2%
114 KOGAN Benjamin 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
115 GHENEA George Philipe 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
116 SKINNER Graham B. 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
117 GREENBAUM Ian L. 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
118 KOTOV Leonid 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
119 TONG ZACHARY 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
120 ALTIRS Alexander 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
121 GUZZO Vito 37% 42% 17% 3% - -
122 BASALYGA Jeffrey 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
123 TANN Justin 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
124 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
125 RIGHTLER Samuel 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% -
126 HOLZ William A. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
127 REYES Xavier M. 5% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1%
128 LIU kelly 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
129 CHEONG Heonjae 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
130 BEAM David E. 27% 43% 24% 5% - - -
131 BERGER Oliver 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
132 BULL Anderson 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
133 ROBERTS Sam 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
134 VO Minh Q. 37% 41% 17% 4% - - -
134 WONG Ryan 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
136 POPE Nico 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2% -
137 COLE Alexander 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
138 HUANG Ethan F. 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
139 SHANAHAN Adam E. 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
140 JEFFORDS Alexander 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
141 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
142 ZHANG Derek 41% 40% 15% 3% - -
143 MAKLIN Edward P. 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
144 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
145 DENNER Maximilian P. 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
145 KAYDALIN Artyom 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
147 MURZYN III CJ 25% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
148 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 7% 29% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
149 CHEN Leo 4% 22% 40% 27% 6% 1% -
150 WESLER Logan A. 11% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
151 HUANG Zekai 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
152 MARGULIES William 21% 47% 26% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.