The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 4:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
2 KIM Shaun M. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
3 KUSHKOV Veniamin - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
3 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
5 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
5 NOURELDIN Gabriel - - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
7 OH Triton - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
8 FIELDS Matthew S. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
9 PENG Bryan - - 1% 8% 28% 44% 19%
10 BAE Jason I. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
11 KILGALLEN William - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
11 TASIKAS Stylianos - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
13 WU Wilmund - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
14 WEBER Mattias A. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
15 WANG Robert - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
16 LIU Mingyang Ryan 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
17 LEONARD Charles 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
18 KOGAN Benjamin - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
19 DOLAN Charles R. - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
20 PIWOWAR Alex - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 6%
21 WAXLER Seth B. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
22 STERN Tobias 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
23 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
24 HUANG Connor - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
25 MORALES Jonathan - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 4%
26 HONG Robert 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
27 ENGEL Peter 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
28 LI Yao (Liam) - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12% 1%
29 SMINK Oliver 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
30 DEKA Tanush 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
31 KESSLER Josh 6% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
32 EYBELMAN Ariel 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
33 MOULTON Ian 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
34 SHI Erick 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
35 SHIPITSIN Alexander - - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
36 GILSON Lucas B. - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
37 MCCARTHY Devan 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
38 MARGULIAN Grant 2% 25% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
39 PERRON Robert - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
40 MENDOZA Luca 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
41 DAI Gary 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
42 KAPOOR Tanmay 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
43 BOULAIS Andrew D. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
44 SHINCHUK Daniel 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
45 TAUER Sam 26% 45% 24% 5% - - -
46 ANAND Sahil Z. - 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
47 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
48 GONG Jerry 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
49 WRIGHT Zachary 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
50 DUMOULIN Gabriel 4% 26% 42% 23% 4% - -
51 FLITSANOV Macabee 1% 7% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
52 HUANG Tom 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
53 TIAGI Daniel 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
54 KESSLER Nathan 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2% -
54 SHIPITSIN Yaroslav 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
56 KUMAR Shivai 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
57 WONG Caleb W. 4% 22% 42% 26% 6% 1% -
58 HOFFMAN Pasquale 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
59 LIGH Checed 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
59 STOLPER Max 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
61 DESAUTELS Connor 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
62 LAUB William 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
63 FARMER Rohan 66% 30% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.