The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 4:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HILD Nisha - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
2 PRIEUR Lauren - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
3 LEE Hannah - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
3 SINHA Anika - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
5 YUAN Greta - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
6 NATH Trisha - - 4% 20% 41% 28% 6%
7 CHIANG Emily - 4% 19% 39% 31% 8%
8 LEE Sophia 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
9 MCKEE Ainsley 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
10 GRINBERG Aliya - 4% 22% 40% 27% 6%
11 FESTA Carina 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
12 VADASZ Ibla P. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
13 KIM Marley I. - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
14 OBRADOVIC Ana 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 3%
15 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 1% 6% 24% 41% 27%
16 LU Elaine - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
17 JEONG Katie - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
18 NGUYEN Ella 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7%
19 TSUI Natalie - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
20 LIGH Erenei J. - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12%
21 HE Lizbeth - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
22 PENG Florella - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
23 SO Catelyn 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
24 GRAFF Sophie - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
25 MARGULIAN Maria 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
26 DONG Angel 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
27 MCKEE Brynnley 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
28 SHINCHUK Ellisha 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
29 SADOVA Olga 1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 4%
29 DAI Olivia 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% -
31 YOUNG Audrey 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
32 KNOBEL Sophia 39% 41% 17% 3% - -
33 YEN Natalie 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
34 NAYAK Esha 8% 38% 37% 14% 2% -
35 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
36 LAGOON Miriam 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
37 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 28% 48% 21% 4% - -
38 KHAN Alissa 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
39 GOMERMAN Sophia 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 2%
40 NAGORNAYA Uliana 10% 37% 39% 12% 1% - -
41 NAYAK Anika 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2% -
42 DAMDINSUREN Sophie 34% 46% 17% 3% - -
43 NAYAK Indra 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
44 MAKLIN Sofia - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6%
45 FLATT Sophia 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
46 ZHANG Emily 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
47 GIBEK Victoria 4% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
48 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
49 GOW Sydney 63% 32% 5% - - -
50 WOTZAK Kaia 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
51 PROBASCO Leila 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.