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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 8:30 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NGUYEN Anthony 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
2 KIM Ethan - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
3 BONETTI Brayden - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
3 LIU Kevin - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8%
5 PEREIRA Beckham - - 6% 27% 43% 23% 2%
6 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
7 LIN Maxim 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% < 1%
8 WANG daniel - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
9 ALAVE Kyle - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
10 NARDINI Nathanael P. - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 14%
11 MEHAN Nicholas - - - - 3% 24% 73%
12 WELSTEAD Nicholas - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
13 LIN Philip T. - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
14 KIETLINSKI Samuel - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
15 LEUNG Ian 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
16 URSU Marcel T. - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
17 DAI Zihou 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1%
18 MEYERSON Jacob - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
19 PINTO Marcus - 1% 11% 37% 37% 13% 1%
20 WAXLER Ryan - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
21 FADEL Alexander - - 4% 22% 43% 28% 3%
22 MONTALVO Matthew 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% - -
23 SALDARINI Glenn - 2% 13% 38% 37% 10%
24 SHAPIRO Simon 18% 43% 30% 9% 1% -
25 LEE Andrew 1% 16% 39% 32% 11% 1%
26 MALDARI Luke 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
27 LOO Jason 12% 40% 35% 11% 1% -
28 GERTSBERG Eli 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
29 SARWAHI Viraat 5% 35% 40% 17% 3% -
30 ABDEL-DAYEM Ibrahim 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
31 CHUNG Connor 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
32 LIN Justin 67% 29% 4% - - -
33 GOMEZ Emilio 24% 46% 25% 4% - - -
34 HOLTSCHLAG Milo 10% 35% 39% 14% 2% - -
35 CHENG Sawyer 3% 26% 41% 24% 5% - -
36 MEHTA Krish 23% 45% 27% 5% - - -
37 KIM Daehwan(Benjamin) 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
38 LOSQUADRO Joseph 38% 44% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.