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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 4:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIARELLI Valentina - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
2 BERMAN Greta - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
3 LOO Kaitlyn - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
3 CHIANG Melissa 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
5 BUSH Bethany 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
6 FUNG Iris - 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
7 MALEK Zolie - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
8 CHAN Madeleine V. - 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
9 HU Anna - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
10 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
11 CHANG Elle 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
12 GUGALA Hanna - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
13 MYAT Chloe - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
14 BUSH Divina - 7% 28% 41% 20% 3%
15 BERRIOS Catalina 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
16 CHAVAN Arya 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
17 LEOU Korina - 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
18 LIU Yifei 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
19 BORGUETA Madison 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
20 VINOKUR Anita 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
21 HILD Anya 40% 45% 13% 1% - -
22 ENG Madeleine - 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 9%
23 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
24 GONG Joy 8% 42% 37% 12% 2% -
25 CASTELO Soleil 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1%
26 MARABELLA Grace 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
27 MEYERSON Michelle - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
28 NGUYEN Viola 2% 19% 42% 29% 7% 1% -
29 FOSS Persephone 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4%
30 BROWN Piper 53% 36% 9% 1% - -
31 NGUYEN Matilda 3% 23% 42% 26% 6% 1%
32 PEREIRA Izumi 85% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.