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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	KOENIG Charlotte R.	-	-	1%	7%	35%	44%	13%
2	FANG Sabrina	-	-	-	-	9%	39%	52%
3	HO Brianna W.	-	-	1%	11%	41%	47%
3	TAN Kaitlyn N.	-	-	5%	24%	45%	26%
5	SHEN Lydia	-	1%	9%	33%	41%	16%
6	XUE Alanna L.	-	1%	14%	40%	36%	10%
7	ADAMS KIM Natalie	-	2%	16%	37%	35%	10%
8	MILLER Naomi E.	-	-	5%	25%	45%	24%
9	CHEN Allison V.	-	-	1%	13%	43%	35%	7%
10	SARTORI Taylor M.	-	-	4%	25%	45%	25%
11	HECKMANN Emma	-	-	7%	29%	43%	21%
12	ZHANG Alina C.	-	1%	10%	35%	42%	13%
13	NISSINOFF Alexandra	2%	19%	42%	29%	7%	1%
14	ACHILOVA Feyza	-	5%	26%	42%	23%	3%
15	YU Lauren C.	-	6%	38%	43%	12%
16	WONG Sophia M.	-	7%	27%	40%	23%	4%
17	NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi"	-	1%	13%	44%	43%
18	CASTANEDA Erika L.	-	-	3%	19%	43%	35%
19	LOCKE Savannah	-	-	6%	29%	44%	20%
19	WU Julianna Y.	1%	19%	40%	30%	9%	1%
21	LEE Lavender	-	5%	34%	46%	15%
22	SEO IRENE Y.	-	3%	25%	42%	25%	5%
23	HUANG NATALIE	-	6%	29%	41%	20%	3%
24	ROY Layla	2%	22%	41%	27%	7%	1%
25	XIANG Emma	1%	7%	29%	45%	16%	2%	-
26	GU Emily	-	7%	41%	38%	12%	1%
27	PAHLAVI Dahlia	-	2%	20%	41%	29%	7%
28	WEINTRAUB Io H.	1%	11%	36%	36%	14%	2%
29	PAVE Claire	11%	43%	35%	10%	1%	-
30	PAULUS Isabella	29%	45%	22%	3%	-	-	-
31	SHTROM Uma A.	59%	38%	3%	-	-	-
32	MAESTRADO Ashley R.	10%	36%	40%	13%	1%	-	-
33	CHARALEL Jessica	24%	49%	23%	4%	-	-
34	THIRUVENGADAM Harini	39%	51%	10%	1%	-
35	ZHOU Catherine	39%	51%	10%	1%	-	-
36	HOWELL Jocelyn	43%	45%	12%	1%	-	-
37	OETZEL Taylor	80%	19%	2%	-	-	-
38	GOLBIN Ariella J.	43%	48%	8%	-	-
39	LEE Kaitlyn	28%	59%	12%	1%	-	-
40	BRANDON Fionnoula	44%	48%	7%	-	-	-
41	ASCHETTINO Aurora	57%	35%	7%	-	-	-
42	LEVY Avery	18%	44%	31%	7%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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