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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	HE Fenghuan	-	-	-	2%	16%	44%	38%
2	KOENIG Charlotte R.	-	-	2%	14%	41%	43%
3	EYER Hailey M.	-	-	5%	25%	46%	23%
3	JANG Kimberley	-	-	-	3%	16%	42%	39%
5	COSTELLO Angeline S.	-	-	4%	18%	38%	32%	8%
6	HUANG NATALIE	-	-	3%	18%	39%	34%	6%
7	SEO IRENE Y.	1%	8%	27%	38%	22%	4%
8	WU Julianna Y.	-	6%	23%	39%	26%	5%
9	CHO Rebecca H.	-	-	1%	8%	31%	43%	17%
10	MEI Sarah	1%	11%	30%	37%	18%	3%
11	MI Anning	1%	9%	29%	38%	20%	3%
12	GU Emily	-	1%	11%	31%	38%	17%	2%
13	YANG Lingting	1%	8%	28%	38%	21%	4%	-
14	MILLER Naomi E.	-	-	4%	21%	43%	32%
15	MASSICK Laine	-	-	3%	18%	45%	34%
16	YU Lauren C.	-	3%	18%	38%	32%	9%
17	SERBAN Samantha M.	-	-	-	-	5%	30%	64%
18	MARKOVSKY Nina	2%	16%	35%	33%	12%	2%	-
19	ZHAO Aileen Y.	-	1%	7%	25%	41%	23%	4%
20	ZHOU Catherine	11%	35%	35%	15%	3%	-	-
21	WONG Sophia M.	1%	7%	29%	41%	19%	3%
22	WU Renee	-	5%	23%	40%	27%	6%
23	ASCHETTINO Aurora	15%	44%	31%	9%	1%	-
24	SHAW Kayla M.	-	-	2%	12%	39%	47%
25	LEE Ariana	1%	12%	34%	36%	15%	2%
26	RASO Olivia	15%	44%	32%	8%	1%	-
27	OLIVEIRA Lavinia M.	2%	13%	33%	35%	16%	2%
28	CHEN Jasmine	44%	42%	13%	1%	-	-
29	LENZ Zoe N.	32%	42%	21%	5%	-	-
30	MEYER Claudia	45%	42%	12%	2%	-	-
31	CHARALEL Jessica	2%	19%	39%	30%	9%	1%	-
32	FERRETTI Anna Rebecca	-	1%	5%	21%	39%	28%	6%
33	MI Aileen	4%	23%	38%	27%	8%	1%
34	SHENG Chuxi	6%	28%	38%	22%	5%	-
35	ZULUETA Catherine	10%	34%	36%	17%	3%	-
36	LIU Sophia	1%	11%	31%	36%	17%	3%	-
37	TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol	32%	43%	20%	4%	-	-	-
38	SOLDATOVA Maria	3%	21%	42%	28%	7%	-
39	PAVE Claire	3%	20%	37%	29%	10%	1%	-
40	TRACZ Calleigh D.	5%	29%	40%	21%	5%	-	-
41	MAESTRADO Ashley R.	5%	24%	39%	25%	6%	1%	-
42	THIRUVENGADAM Harini	13%	36%	35%	14%	2%	-	-
43	GOLDSON Jordyn V.	22%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-	-
44	HOWELL Jocelyn	56%	35%	8%	1%	-	-	-
45	ZGOMBIC Emily	38%	42%	17%	3%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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