The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Windy City SYC and Cadets #6 Reg Open 5/11

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, June 12, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Deerfield, IL - Deerfield, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLZ Daniel - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
2 STONE Esmond A. - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
3 HOLZ William A. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
3 HAN Edward - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
5 SIDDIQUI Shayan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
6 BROU Inkosi 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
7 KWALWASSER Eric - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
8 HERNANDEZ Stanton 3% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
9 WANG Nicolas - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11%
10 PATIL Aaryan A. - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
11 PRIMUS Nazir - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
12 CHON Collin 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
13 LIU Vince 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
14 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
15 LIN Philip T. 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
16 WANG Max 18% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
17 GERSTMANN Max T. - 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
18 YANG Dylan 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
19 KROON Lucas 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
20 BULLARD Nicholas Y. - 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
21 KAPSALIS Kosta 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
22 JOO Jeein - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
23 NGUYEN Anthony 2% 24% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
24 WANG William 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
25 VENU Ram 55% 36% 9% 1% - -
26 PARADIS Emmit 74% 23% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.