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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC Reg Opens 3/26

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, April 24, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Rocky Point, NY - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 UM Ethan A. - - 2% 10% 32% 40% 16%
2 WELCH Kyle J. - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
3 CHEN Ziyuan - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
3 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
5 LIU Patrick - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
6 KIM Nicholas W. - - 1% 5% 23% 42% 29%
7 XIAO Ethan J. - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
8 LIMA Kevin M. - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
9 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
10 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
11 LI Richard - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
12 YU Vinni - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
13 DESANDO Michael R. 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
14 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
15 BAE Kevin 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
16 BAS Liam - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
17 KWON Ethan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
18 ZHANG Henry C. 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
19 STANLEY Mason B. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
20 WANG Gerald Y. 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
21 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 23%
22 HODGES Carter F. - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
23 KAO Castor T. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
24 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 4% 20% 38% 30% 9% 1%
25 LEE Chaemin D. - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2%
26 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
27 HO Ryan J. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
28 RUSADZE Nickolas - 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
29 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
30 MITCHELL Philip D. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
31 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - 3% 15% 37% 37% 9%
32 AHN Jun 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
33 OURSLER Jack - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
34 LEE Jacob J 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
35 SCHENCK Koen M. - 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
36 YEROKHIN Michael N. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
37 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
38 BING Charles 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
39 BELLUOMO David C. 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
40 WU Alexander - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
41 BALL James T. - 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
42 NAGER Noah 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
43 SICHITIU Alexander 3% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
44 KOBAL Maximilian 1% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
45 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 2% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
46 CHAN Tyler - 2% 11% 31% 38% 16% 2%
47 HEMPE Jake - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
47 DEGREMONT Henri S. 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
49 SIEGEL Elliot - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
50 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
51 LI Eric 3% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
52 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
53 LEWIS Paul D. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
54 DOBBINS Evan W. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
55 ZHAI Jeffrey 2% 20% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
56 LIAO Alex J. 3% 19% 35% 28% 12% 2% -
57 GU Jeffrey 1% 17% 36% 31% 13% 2% -
58 DAI Jonathan T. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
59 BUERGIN Aidan 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
60 SHA Yi Peng 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
61 HODESS Ethan 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
62 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
63 CAI Oliver K. 3% 28% 41% 22% 6% 1% -
64 JOSEPH Willem 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
65 PITERBARG Maxim 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
66 WANG Michael 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
67 BOBROW Logan 4% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
68 GALLER Dave 73% 24% 3% - - - -
69 LE Vyn A. 4% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
70 MONTALBINE Aidan 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
71 LI Arvin 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
72 XU Mathu Yang 75% 22% 2% - - - -
73 ZHAO Jesse 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
74 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
75 GRANADOS Luis 93% 7% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.