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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

June NAC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, June 5, 2021 at 1:15 PM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POSSICK Lola P. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
2 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
3 MIKA Veronica - - 5% 25% 46% 24%
3 ANDRES Charmaine G. - 1% 6% 22% 40% 27% 4%
5 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - 5% 21% 44% 30%
6 OISHI Megumi - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
7 TIMOFEYEV Nicole - - 2% 16% 47% 35%
8 TAO Hannah J. - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
9 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
10 SHOMAN Jenna - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
11 CHANG Josephine S. - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
12 TZOU Alexandra - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
13 SHOMAN Miriam - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
14 KER Grace - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
15 CODY Alexandra C. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
16 TONG Kunling - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
17 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
17 BLUM Leah I. - - 3% 19% 48% 30%
19 LI Amanda C. - - 5% 25% 45% 24%
20 CHIOLDI Mina - 1% 9% 34% 40% 15%
21 LU Amy - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
22 NEWELL Alexia C. - - 4% 20% 39% 31% 6%
23 LEE Alexandra B. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
24 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - 1% 8% 30% 42% 20%
25 SHEARER Natalie E. - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
26 OLSEN Natalie J. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
27 JULIEN Michelle - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
28 CARVALHO Isabela A. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 21%
29 SINHA Anika - 6% 34% 41% 16% 2%
30 YONG Erika E. - - 4% 23% 46% 27%
31 MEYTIN Sophia E. 48% 39% 11% 1% - -
32 ANTHONY Alexia B. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1%
33 SZETO Chloe - - 4% 23% 41% 27% 4%
33 ANDRES Katherine A. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
35 KALRA Himani V. - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
36 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika - 3% 25% 44% 25% 4%
37 MARSEE Samantha - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
38 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. - 2% 18% 41% 32% 7%
39 LI Victoria J. - 2% 15% 37% 37% 8%
40 YANG Ashley M. - - 5% 27% 41% 22% 3%
41 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
42 HOLMES Emma 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
43 KRYLOVA Valery - 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
44 XI Shining - 1% 8% 29% 39% 19% 3%
45 NOVICK Mia J. 1% 14% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
46 PRIEUR Lauren - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
47 VESTEL Mira B. - 1% 9% 34% 43% 14%
48 CALLAHAN Chase J. - 3% 22% 43% 26% 5%
49 DANK Dina 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
50 CHEN Xinyan - 5% 23% 42% 25% 5%
51 HURST Kennedy 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2%
52 REN Xinling 14% 42% 32% 10% 1% -
53 JUNG Irene 1% 13% 41% 35% 10% 1%
54 GREENBAUM Ella K. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
55 JOHNSON Lauren - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
56 WIGGERS Susan Q. - - 4% 25% 42% 25% 4%
57 BILILIES Sophia 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
57 LIU Sophie - 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% -
59 HWANG Gabriela M. 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
60 ALCEBAR Kayla - 3% 23% 42% 26% 4%
61 GHAYALOD reya 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 2%
62 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
63 WU Erica L. - 1% 6% 22% 40% 27% 4%
64 LEE Hannah - 5% 22% 39% 27% 7%
65 HILD Nisha - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
66 BOIS Adele - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
67 LUKASHENKO Angelina - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
68 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
69 BALAKUMARAN Maya - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 2%
70 BUHAY Rachel T. - 6% 31% 41% 19% 2%
71 STONE Hava S. - - 3% 21% 46% 30%
72 LIGH Erenei J. 4% 21% 39% 29% 7% -
73 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
74 GORMAN Victoria M. - - 2% 14% 36% 35% 11%
75 SHI Cathleen 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
75 BARNOVITZ Maya 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
77 ATLURI Sara V. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
78 GRAFF Sophie 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
79 NYSTROM Sofia C. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
80 ENDO Miyuki N. 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
81 PAL Anjali G. 2% 24% 39% 25% 8% 1% -
82 ENGELMAN Madeline A. - 1% 7% 30% 43% 19%
83 CHANG Audrey 11% 45% 34% 9% 1% -
84 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
84 LU Elaine 3% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2%
86 LIN Selena 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
87 BOLTON Eleksi M. 11% 37% 38% 13% 2% -
88 KIM Marley I. 5% 24% 40% 26% 6% -
89 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
90 BENOIT Adelaide L. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
91 BAKER Audrey C. - 2% 14% 36% 34% 12% 1%
92 YUAN Greta 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
93 MARYASH Samantha 5% 32% 45% 16% 2% - -
94 LIAO Siwen 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
95 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
96 WEI Vivian W. 3% 23% 45% 24% 5% -
96 WANG Jianning 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
98 NAYAK Esha 58% 35% 6% - - -
98 FAN Grace 10% 36% 38% 14% 2% -
100 OBRADOVIC Ana 7% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
101 NEIBART Fiona 6% 25% 36% 25% 7% 1%
102 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 34% 44% 18% 3% - -
102 HUANG MADELINE 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% -
104 HAMILTON Ciera 55% 38% 7% - - -
104 TABANGAY Heartlyn 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
106 TODD Phoebe 12% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
107 ELNATAN Mica A. 30% 55% 14% 1% - -
108 TONG Jessie 46% 44% 9% 1% - -
109 TUNG Renee 11% 49% 31% 7% 1% - -
110 HENRY Soraya S. 4% 42% 39% 13% 2% - -
111 LIU Grace 72% 24% 3% - - - -
112 KHAN Alissa 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
113 YEN Natalie 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
114 ALTIRS Kate 12% 45% 35% 7% 1% - -
115 JOHNSON Lydia 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
116 BAWA Anahat 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
117 JEAN Olympe G. 5% 24% 38% 25% 6% 1%
117 BAKER Amelia M. 29% 52% 17% 2% - -
117 DAI Olivia 19% 53% 24% 4% - -
117 YANG Lea 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
117 FANG sophie 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
122 WUNNAVA Elina 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
122 CHEN Athena 55% 37% 7% - - - -
124 LIN Sarah 53% 42% 5% - - -
125 ALANGAD Rhea 67% 29% 4% - - - -
126 NEELEY Leilani 85% 14% 1% - - - -
127 NAYAK Anika 26% 46% 23% 5% 1% - -
127 CHIN Elise 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
129 MORAN Rhea 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.