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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

June NAC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, June 5, 2021 at 1:45 PM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUO Jessica Zi Jia - - - - - 8% 92%
2 JING Emily - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
3 KIM Rachael - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
3 APELIAN Katherine - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
5 SHEN Sophia H. - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
6 LEE Brianna J. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
7 FANG Sabrina - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
8 KNIGHT Skylar - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
9 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
10 QIAN Crystal - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
11 HO Brianna W. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
12 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
13 KONG Chin-Yi - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
14 SHEN Lydia 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4%
15 HALL Velma - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
16 MILLER Naomi E. - 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
17 KLINE Melissa C. - - 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
18 ZHENG Ivy - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
19 MASSICK Laine - 1% 11% 41% 47%
20 KOO Rachel A. - - - 5% 23% 45% 28%
21 TAN Kaitlyn N. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
22 OH Erin H. 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
23 PERLMAN Talia 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
24 DAVIA Daniella V. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
25 CHEN Jessie S. 1% 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
26 GRIFFIN Emma G. - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 20%
27 YU Seneca - 2% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2%
28 CHUSID Mikayla - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
29 LIU Jaelyn A. 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
30 KIM Katherine - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
31 TALAVERA Daena - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
32 JO Mia C. - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
33 CHEN Jia P. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
34 PETROVA Kristina - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
35 LI Phoebe J. - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 15%
36 LOCKE Savannah - 1% 14% 35% 35% 13% 2%
37 YU Lauren C. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
38 ZHAO Sophie L. - 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% -
39 NISSINOFF Alexandra - 4% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1%
40 KOREN Lihy Peer - 2% 8% 22% 33% 26% 8%
41 WANG Ellen - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
42 GUERRA Sofia E. 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2%
43 CHO Cameron S. 1% 14% 42% 36% 8%
44 HUNG Juliana K. - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
45 SADAN Jordan E. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
45 NAMGALAURI Mariam 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
47 YHIP Mikaela M. - 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
48 DUAN Konnie - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
49 CHO Gracie L. - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 4%
50 LI Meilin - 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
51 GAYDOS Sofia C. - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
52 CHEN Allison V. 1% 9% 31% 38% 19% 3%
53 KHOO Lauren A. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
54 EYER Hailey M. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 3%
55 KOENIG Charlotte R. - 1% 12% 34% 38% 14% -
56 ZHANG Alina C. - 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 3%
57 SHAW Kayla M. - 4% 23% 40% 27% 6% -
58 SEO IRENE Y. - 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1%
59 HE Fenghuan - 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2%
60 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie - - 6% 25% 40% 25% 4%
60 SENIC Adeline - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
62 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23% 1%
63 DEBACK Greta I. 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
64 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
65 SARTORI Taylor M. - 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
66 PAHLAVI Dahlia - 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 3%
67 SERBAN Samantha M. - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
68 FERNANDES Thea 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
69 LEE Bethany W. 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3%
70 WONG Sophia M. 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
71 KOSTELNY Alexis - 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1%
72 LI Rachel Y. - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
73 MEI Sarah 23% 49% 23% 5% - - -
74 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 24% 45% 25% 5% - - -
74 WU Julianna Y. 1% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
76 OUYANG Bridgette Z. - 13% 40% 38% 9%
77 LESLIE Ryanne T. - - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9%
78 ORVANANOS Anice 1% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
79 BATRA Chaahat - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
80 KONG Olivia - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
81 LIN Ashley - 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
82 HECKMANN Emma - 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
83 CAO Arianna L. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
84 XUE Alanna L. 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
85 LEE Lavender 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
86 HUANG NATALIE 9% 39% 36% 13% 2% -
87 GU EMILY 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
88 JANG Kimberley - 1% 11% 33% 37% 17% 2%
89 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 17% 57% 22% 3% - - -
90 UPTON Elizabeth - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
90 ZULUETA Catherine 56% 37% 7% 1% - - -
92 TALWALKAR Apoorva - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
93 WEINTRAUB Io H. 5% 26% 42% 22% 5% - -
94 LIU Sophia 13% 42% 32% 11% 2% - -
95 SUN Chien-Yu 4% 40% 41% 14% 1%
96 LEE Ariana 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
97 CHO Rebecca H. 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
98 PENG Amber L. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
98 SULEIMAN Alysa J. 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
100 ZHAO Aileen Y. 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
101 WU Irene M. 1% 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
102 HAYES Alyssa R. 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
103 SU Michelle 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
104 LEE Ji Ahn 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
105 DATLA Medha 47% 43% 9% 1% - - -
106 DE LA CRUZ Eden 2% 20% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
106 MUSTO Isabella 30% 53% 15% 2% - - -
108 ZGOMBIC Emily 44% 43% 11% 1% - - -
109 HSIUNG Samantha 4% 55% 33% 7% 1% - -
109 ZAMELIS Madelyn 68% 30% 2% - - - -
111 ASCHETTINO Aurora 48% 44% 8% 1% - - -
112 HSIEH Rebecca 25% 50% 21% 4% - - -
113 WANDJI Anais 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
114 TAN Clarisse 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
114 LEE Fiona E. 58% 35% 7% 1% - -
116 LI Sophia M. 16% 49% 28% 6% 1% - -
117 YANG Lingting 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
118 KENNEDY Elizabeth 29% 46% 21% 4% - - -
119 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 83% 16% 1% - -
120 BRADFORD Meeah < 1% 1% 15% 36% 34% 13% 2%
121 SULEIMAN Alena J. 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
122 QIAN Zhiyan 53% 38% 8% 1% - - -
123 SCHMIDT Victoria 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -
124 HSIEH Sabrina 91% 9% - - - - -
125 DATLA Meha 86% 13% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.