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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

June NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Sunday, June 6, 2021 at 1:30 PM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARVEY Eleanor - 1% 9% 29% 40% 18% 3%
2 CATANTAN Samantha Kyle - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
3 WEINTRAUB Maia M. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
3 TAFFEL sara - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
5 GUO Jessica Zi Jia - - - - 1% 17% 81%
6 DEVORE Delphine P. - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
7 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. - - - - 6% 35% 59%
8 PUSTILNIK Nicole - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
9 RHODES Zander - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
10 TAN Helen - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
11 TIEU May L. - - - 3% 19% 46% 31%
11 CHUSID Renata M. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
13 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
13 LI Grace Q. - 5% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
15 HO Brianna W. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
16 YAROSHENKO Karina - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
17 LUNG Katerina - 1% 5% 20% 38% 31% 7%
18 CHO Sabrina N. - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
19 WANG Ellen - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
20 OH Erin H. 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% -
21 HORSLEY Asherah - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
22 MINARIK Natalie M. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
23 FANG Sabrina - 1% 5% 20% 37% 31% 6%
24 ZHENG Vivian - 4% 20% 39% 30% 6% -
25 FLANAGAN Catherine H. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
26 ZHANG Alina C. 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
27 JING Emily 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 8%
28 REN Olivia Y. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
29 QIAN Crystal - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
30 FREEDMAN Miranda W. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
31 HE Fenghuan 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
32 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
33 LUONG Paige K. - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
34 RYAN Kelleigh E. - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
35 APELIAN Katherine - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
36 JING Alexandra - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
36 LESLIE Ryanne T. - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
38 SHEN Sophia H. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
39 MARINELLI Ever - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
40 CHENG Evelyn - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 24%
41 LEE Alina - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
42 KIM Katherine 6% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
43 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
44 CAO Arianna L. - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
45 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
46 HOOSHI Erica S. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
47 LI Meilin 7% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
48 HOSONO Rei W. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
49 ADLER Polly Z. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
50 CANDESCU Diana - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
51 GONG Christina S. 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
52 LEE Annora Y. - 1% 5% 21% 40% 30% 3%
53 SHEN Lydia 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
54 PETROVA Kristina - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
55 LEE Allison (Allie) - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
56 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
57 ZHENG Ivy - 3% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
58 TALAVERA Daena - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
59 KIM Rachael - 4% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
60 HUNG Juliana K. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
61 LI Rachel Y. 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
62 LEE Paulina 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
63 LEE Brianna J. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
64 CHO Taylor S. 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
65 CHOI Lenna K. - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
66 PARK Rowan M. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
67 GRIFFIN Emma G. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
68 KOO Rachel A. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
69 CHUSID Mikayla - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
70 CHEN Jessie S. 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
71 HE Elizabeth W. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
72 HALL Velma - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
73 STAMOS Maria - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
74 JANG Kimberley 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
75 KHOO Lauren A. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
76 PEVZNER Victoria 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
77 KNIGHT Skylar 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
78 BREKER Anika - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
79 KONG Chin-Yi - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13% 1%
79 KOKES Gabrielle 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
81 EYER Hailey M. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
82 HUNT Tarleton Q. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
83 CHEN Jia P. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
84 TOLBERT Zoe 8% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
84 KOENIG Charlotte R. 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
86 MILLER Naomi E. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
87 GAYDOS Sofia C. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
88 SERBAN Samantha M. 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
89 MARTOS Sara A. - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
90 MASSICK Laine - 3% 17% 37% 32% 9% 1%
91 LIN Ashley 9% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
92 LEE Bethany W. 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
93 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
94 KOSTELNY Alexis 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
95 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
96 SHAW Kayla M. 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
97 LEE Ariana 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
98 LEVIN Eve A. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
98 BATRA Chaahat 8% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
100 ABAYEVA Sasha - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
100 JO Mia C. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
100 XUE Alanna L. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
103 WU Julianna Y. 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
104 CHO Cameron S. 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
105 DEBACK Greta I. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
106 DAVIA Daniella V. - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 2%
107 NAMGALAURI Mariam 10% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
108 SADAN Jordan E. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
109 GUERRA Sofia E. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
110 KONG Olivia 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
111 LI Phoebe J. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
112 YU Lauren C. 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
113 WEINTRAUB Io H. 27% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
114 TALWALKAR Apoorva 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
115 ZHAO Sophie L. 10% 30% 35% 19% 6% 1% -
116 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
117 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
118 WALKER Mayah J. 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
119 LOCKE Savannah 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
120 CHO Gracie L. 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
120 KLINE Melissa C. 2% 16% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
122 SENIC Adeline 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
123 SEAL Julie T. 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
123 RENTON Samantha 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
125 SUN Chien-Yu 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
126 BRADFORD Meeah 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
127 YHIP Mikaela M. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
128 HECKMANN Emma 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
129 UPTON Elizabeth 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
130 FERNANDES Thea 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
131 PERLMAN Talia 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
132 PAHLAVI Dahlia 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
133 YE Eileen 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
134 ZHAO Aileen Y. 38% 43% 17% 3% - - -
135 SULEIMAN Alysa J. 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
136 ATLURI Srija 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
137 SARTORI Taylor M. 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
138 CHEN Allison V. 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
139 DUAN Konnie 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
140 HENNIG-TRESTMAN Bonnie L. 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
141 TURNER Stephanie E. 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
142 PROCOPIO Lucia 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
143 HUANG NATALIE 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
144 POWERS Meredith R. 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
144 VEERKAMP Molly 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.