The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

June NAC

Junior Women's Foil

Monday, June 7, 2021 at 8:15 AM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEINTRAUB Maia M. - - - - 5% 32% 62%
2 GUO Jessica Zi Jia - - - - 2% 19% 79%
3 RHODES Zander - - - 3% 27% 71%
3 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. - - 4% 19% 39% 30% 8%
5 CHENG Evelyn - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
6 KONG Chin-Yi - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
7 SHEN Sophia H. - 2% 13% 36% 38% 10% 1%
8 CHO Sabrina N. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
9 HE Elizabeth W. - - - 2% 15% 43% 41%
10 CANDESCU Diana - - 1% 9% 33% 46% 11%
11 QIAN Crystal - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
12 HORSLEY Asherah - - 1% 8% 31% 44% 16%
13 TAN Helen - - - - 5% 29% 66%
14 LUNG Katerina - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
15 HUNG Juliana K. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
16 LUONG Paige K. - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
17 PUSTILNIK Nicole - - - 2% 17% 52% 29%
18 LEE Alina - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
19 JING Emily - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
20 JING Alexandra - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
21 CATANTAN Samantha Kyle - - - 2% 13% 44% 41%
22 ZHENG Vivian - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
23 JO Mia C. - - 11% 34% 38% 16% 1%
24 MARINELLI Ever - - - 1% 12% 42% 44%
25 SERBAN Samantha M. - 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3%
26 CAO Arianna L. - 3% 16% 39% 33% 9%
27 FANG Sabrina - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
28 DRUCK Lior 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
29 JANG Kimberley - 4% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
30 BREKER Anika - 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 3%
31 TALWALKAR Apoorva 1% 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
32 KOO Rachel A. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
33 HO Brianna W. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
34 LIU Jaelyn A. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
35 YAROSHENKO Karina - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
36 TALAVERA Daena - 1% 19% 41% 31% 8% -
37 FLANAGAN Catherine H. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
37 CHEN Jessie S. 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
39 CHEN Jia P. - 1% 13% 37% 36% 12% 1%
40 LI Grace Q. - - 7% 44% 42% 7%
41 GAYDOS Sofia C. 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
42 LESLIE Ryanne T. - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
43 KLINE Melissa C. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
44 HOOSHI Erica S. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
45 LI Meilin - 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
46 MILLER Naomi E. - 1% 19% 40% 30% 9% 1%
47 APELIAN Katherine - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
48 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
48 PEVZNER Victoria - 1% 6% 25% 46% 23%
50 HECKMANN Emma 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
51 GRIFFIN Emma G. - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
52 PETROVA Kristina - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
53 KONG Olivia - 9% 36% 39% 14% 2%
54 KOKES Gabrielle - - 7% 27% 41% 23% 3%
55 LEE Annora Y. - - 3% 18% 42% 34% 3%
56 WANG Ellen - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
57 SENIC Adeline - 5% 26% 41% 24% 4% -
58 PARK Rowan M. - - 1% 11% 35% 40% 13%
59 LEE Brianna J. 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
60 MARTOS Sara A. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
61 HE Fenghuan - 2% 24% 42% 26% 6% -
62 CHEN Allison V. 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
63 ATLURI Srija 4% 21% 39% 29% 8% 1%
64 ZHAO Aileen Y. 29% 44% 22% 4% - -
65 CHO Taylor S. 2% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
66 ZHENG Ivy - - 4% 23% 46% 26%
67 BATRA Chaahat 3% 19% 38% 30% 8% 1%
68 LEE Allison (Allie) - - 4% 21% 46% 30%
69 CHUSID Mikayla - 1% 11% 34% 41% 11%
70 GONG Christina S. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 1%
71 ZHANG Alina C. 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
72 HOSONO Rei W. - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
73 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa - 2% 17% 38% 33% 9% 1%
74 EYER Hailey M. 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
75 ABAYEVA Sasha - 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 2%
76 DEBACK Greta I. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
76 DAVIA Daniella V. - 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
76 WANDJI Anais 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
79 TAN Clarisse 6% 32% 41% 18% 3% - -
80 LOCKE Savannah 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
80 KIM Katherine 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
82 MASSICK Laine - - 7% 43% 44% 6%
83 CHUSID Renata M. - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
84 CHO Cameron S. 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
85 SUN Chien-Yu 3% 42% 40% 13% 2% -
86 PERLMAN Talia 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
87 XUE Alanna L. 3% 23% 40% 27% 7% -
88 OUYANG Bridgette Z. - 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
89 HALL Velma - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
90 REN Olivia Y. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
90 CHO Gracie L. - 1% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1%
92 LEE Paulina - - 5% 23% 41% 26% 5%
93 LI Rachel Y. - 5% 24% 40% 24% 6% -
94 SHEN Lydia - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
95 SULEIMAN Alysa J. 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
96 KOREN Lihy Peer - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
97 YE Eileen 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
98 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 2% 18% 41% 30% 8% 1% -
99 KHOO Lauren A. 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
99 LEE Bethany W. 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
101 LI Phoebe J. 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
102 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 4% 27% 54% 14% 1% -
103 KNIGHT Skylar - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
103 WALKER Mayah J. 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
105 DU Hannah 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% -
106 RENTON Samantha 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
107 YHIP Mikaela M. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
108 KOSTELNY Alexis 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
109 PENG Amber L. 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
110 OH Erin H. 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
111 SULEIMAN Alena J. 8% 38% 38% 14% 2% - -
112 KIM Rachael - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
113 ZHAO Sophie L. 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
114 KOENIG Charlotte R. - 6% 26% 41% 22% 4% -
115 SARTORI Taylor M. - 6% 30% 40% 20% 3% -
116 MEI Sarah 61% 33% 6% - - - -
117 ZGOMBIC Emily 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
118 WONG Sophia M. 4% 29% 40% 21% 5% 1% -
119 FERNANDES Thea 4% 24% 37% 25% 9% 1% -
120 GUERRA Sofia E. - 5% 29% 41% 21% 4% -
121 YU Lauren C. 1% 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
122 WU Irene M. 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
123 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
124 CHOI Lenna K. - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
125 DUAN Konnie 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
126 SADAN Jordan E. - 9% 35% 39% 15% 2%
127 SHAW Kayla M. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
128 LIN Ashley 10% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
129 BRADFORD Meeah 3% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1%
130 PAHLAVI Dahlia 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
131 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 36% 50% 14% 1% - -
132 HUNT Tarleton Q. - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
133 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
134 STAMOS Maria - < 1% 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
134 SU Michelle 8% 48% 34% 9% 1% - -
136 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 27% 54% 17% 2% - - -
137 LEE Ji Ahn 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -
138 ASCHETTINO Aurora 37% 55% 8% 1% - - -
139 LIU Sophia 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
140 DATLA Medha 75% 25% 1% - - - -
141 HSIUNG Samantha 19% 67% 14% 1% - - -
142 LEE Fiona E. 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
142 YANG Lingting 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
144 WEINTRAUB Io H. 4% 29% 42% 21% 4% - -
144 MUSTO Isabella 51% 41% 7% - - - -
146 WU Julianna Y. 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
146 ZAMELIS Madelyn 90% 9% - - - -
148 ZULUETA Catherine 39% 49% 12% - - -
148 GU EMILY 37% 42% 18% 3% - -
150 VEERKAMP Molly 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
150 HEISER Anna M. 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
150 DATLA Meha 93% 7% - - - - -
153 UPTON Elizabeth 2% 22% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
154 MCKEVITT Caitlin R. 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% - -
154 SCHMIDT Victoria 71% 26% 3% - - - -
154 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 52% 44% 4% - - - -
157 LEE Ariana 43% 40% 15% 3% - - -
158 MEYER Claudia 75% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.