Fencing Center of Chicago ROC, VET & RJCC - Reg Opens 3/2

Div I-A Men's Saber

Sunday, May 23, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Northbrook, IL - Northbrook, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HOLZ William A. 100% 95% 68% 28% 4%
2 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
3 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
3 LIU Jonathan M. 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
5 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
6 WANG Nicolas 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1%
7 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 99% 88% 48% 12% 1%
8 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 100% 100% 93% 65% 24% 3%
9 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
10 NARANJO David E. 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
11 MURZYN III CJ 100% 99% 88% 51% 12%
12 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
13 SCHARDINE James 100% 73% 29% 5% -
14 GUST Jadyn 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
15 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 98% 81% 39% 7%
16 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% -
17 YU Limin 100% 76% 21% 2% - -
18 SCHARDINE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 90% 54% 13%
19 KARMELICH Matthew 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 6%
20 NIELANDER Elliot S. 100% 71% 26% 4% -
21 YU Thomas 100% 82% 40% 9% 1%
22 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 57% 16% 2% -
23 HUSTON Theodore 100% 32% 4% - - -
24 GUST Asher 100% 44% 5% - - -
25 HAN Edward 100% 92% 61% 20% 2%
26 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 94% 66% 25% 4%
26 CHAN Aidan 100% 83% 41% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.