April NAC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, April 16, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Fort Worth, TX - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
3 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
3 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
5 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
6 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
7 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
8 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
9 WANG Robert 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
10 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
11 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
12 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
13 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
14 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
15 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
16 VAUGHN Jason 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
17 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
18 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 19%
19 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 25%
20 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
21 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
22 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 91% 64% 27% 5%
23 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
24 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
25 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 18%
26 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 2%
27 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
28 LUO George F. 100% 100% 100% 92% 66% 28% 5%
29 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
30 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 6%
30 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
32 KUMAR Sachit 100% 61% 16% 1% - - -
33 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
34 MAY Griffin M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
35 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
36 MORALES Jonathan 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
37 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
38 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
39 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
40 REN James 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
41 STONE Esmond A. 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
42 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 4%
43 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% -
44 LIM William J. 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
45 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 6% -
46 SU Landon 100% 100% 98% 77% 40% 11% 1%
47 KILARI Krish 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
48 CHAN Aidan 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 3% -
49 LIU Christopher X. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
50 KROON Lucas 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
51 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
52 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
53 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
54 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
55 DUDNICK Christian 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
56 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
57 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
58 HU Christopher 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
59 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
60 COOK Cole 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
61 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
62 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% -
63 WU Richard 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
64 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
65 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 85% 45% 11% 1% -
66 YU Thomas 100% 98% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
67 TSAI Michael T. 100% 95% 54% 16% 2% - -
68 KERCHER Alexander 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
69 JORGESON Charlie 100% 90% 49% 13% 1% - -
69 BYBEE Matthew 100% 25% 2% - - - -
71 NIETO Titus P. 100% 99% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
72 LO Bradley 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
73 ZHOU James Y. 100% 95% 70% 28% 5% - -
74 LIN Philip T. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
75 HUNG Samuel 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
76 CRAIG Samuel 100% 91% 63% 28% 6% 1%
77 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
78 WILKINSON James 100% 48% 5% - - - -
79 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
80 CHEN Evan P. 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
81 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
82 TANG Charles 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
83 FLITSANOV Macabee 100% 87% 46% 9% 1% - -
84 DECK Tyson 100% 93% 37% 6% - - -
85 GONG Jerry 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
86 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 100% 84% 43% 9% 1% -
87 CRAIG Andrew 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
88 PAN Alex 100% 87% 44% 8% 1% - -
88 RODGERS Jacob 100% 14% - - - - -
90 FANG Eason 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
91 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 42% 7% - - - -
92 GUREVICH Savely 100% 67% 12% 1% - - -
92 LIU Alexander 100% 24% 2% - - - -
92 WANG HongXi 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.