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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

April NAC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 18, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Fort Worth, TX - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KATS Dylan G. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
2 IARIKOV Nicholas - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
3 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 LEE Samuel Y. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 23%
5 DODIN David - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
6 LO Jake - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
7 SHCHUR Landon - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
8 WOLFE Alex - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
9 KHANNA Nikhil - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
10 TIYA BIAYA K. - - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
11 LOISEAU Eliott - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
12 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 6% 30% 45% 18%
13 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
14 CHIN Dylan A. 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 8% 1%
15 KIM Jayden 1% 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
16 MULCAHY Olaf - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
17 ZAYDMAN Ethan - - 1% 11% 35% 39% 13%
18 ZHENG Andy - 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 5%
19 KIM Nathan - - 6% 31% 47% 16%
20 SKORUPAN Grant - 3% 18% 43% 30% 6%
21 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 11%
22 SAUNIER Cameron - 8% 32% 40% 17% 3% -
23 BARG Jonathan - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
24 KARNAS Karol - 1% 6% 22% 39% 29% 4%
25 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. - 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
26 CHEN Zhengyang - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
27 XIONG Aaron 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
28 BORISENKO Samuel 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
29 YU Austin 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
30 LEE inwoo 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
31 LAI Boden 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
32 VEERAVALLI Vivek 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
33 ESKRIDGE Caleb - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
34 ROMANOV Ethan - 2% 20% 46% 28% 4%
35 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
36 GINZBURG Adam 1% 10% 47% 35% 8% -
37 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 7% 32% 42% 16% 2% -
38 KOLLARS Jacob 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
39 ZHENG Jerry 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 4% -
40 HEADRICK Lance 1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
41 MITEV Alexander 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
42 RYAN Pierce 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
43 GADDE Neel 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% - -
44 LOISEAU Oscar 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
45 HERNDON Liam 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
46 TAI Edison 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
47 HEADRICK Jack 1% 14% 38% 34% 11% 2% -
48 WANG Joey 14% 42% 34% 9% 1% -
49 XIA Richard 62% 34% 4% - - -
50 VAN VACTER Thomas 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
51 BRADSHAW Carter 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
52 PARRA Sebastian 8% 41% 38% 12% 1% - -
53 MEHROTRA Neel - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
54 ALI Farhan 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
55 OLSON Joseph 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
56 MAXU Tiger 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
57 MANGAN Hunter 23% 61% 15% 1% - -
57 LEE DoWon 42% 43% 13% 1% - -
59 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% - -
60 GATZA Jason 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% 1% -
61 KIM Remington 69% 28% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.