American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, June 12, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
2 GRIFFIN John O. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 BAS Liam - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 18%
3 DESANDO Michael R. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
5 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
5 KWON Ethan - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
7 ZHANG Henry C. - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
8 XIAO Ethan J. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
9 YU Anders - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
10 LI Richard - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
11 ZHANG Andy W. - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
12 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
13 KAO Castor T. - 3% 14% 35% 35% 13%
14 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
15 FEDONCHIK Henry J. - 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% -
16 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
17 STANLEY Mason B. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
18 BAE Junnie - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
19 LIN Richard W. - - 6% 26% 45% 23%
20 OH Samuel H. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
21 XIAO EDWARD - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
22 AHN Jun - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
23 SHA Yi Peng - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
24 MAGIDSON Gabriel 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
25 HO Ryan J. 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
26 BRUK Peter J. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
27 BAE Kevin - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
28 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 3% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
29 LI Eric - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
30 RITCHIE Luke W. - 2% 10% 31% 39% 18%
31 GEE Brandon - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
32 XIAO Anthony 5% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1%
33 DING Jonathan - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
34 KATAYAMA Kevin - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
35 CULLIVAN Justice - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 5%
36 YEROKHIN Michael N. - 3% 20% 42% 28% 6%
37 TOLBA Abdelrahman - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
38 HOWARD Michael 8% 31% 39% 18% 4% - -
39 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
40 BRANDT-OGMAN Adlai 1% 10% 31% 36% 19% 3%
41 HORSLEY Alexander 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
42 GISLER Benjamin B. 19% 47% 27% 6% 1% -
43 ZHAI Jeffrey - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% -
44 BELLUOMO David C. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
44 SICHITIU Alexander - 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
46 WANG Andrew - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
47 BING Charles - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
48 HERGERT Benito - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
49 EVANS Aidan - 6% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
50 DOCTOR Aidan L. 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
51 LEE Chaemin D. 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
52 CHENG Jonathan 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
53 BREIER Matthew F. 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
54 RINEHART Conner M. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
55 WANG Michael 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
56 TIAN Aaron C. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
57 DAI Jonathan T. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
58 GAO William 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
59 WU Nicholas - 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 4%
60 TAN Christien 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
61 FORTUNE Alexander J. 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
62 LIAO Alex J. 2% 19% 43% 28% 7% 1%
63 ZHAO Dylan L. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
64 GAUTAM Vishnu 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
65 ZHAO Jesse 43% 43% 12% 1% - -
66 DESOLA Aidan J. 1% 12% 31% 33% 18% 4% -
67 WANG Gerald Y. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
68 CHIN Julian S. - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 1%
68 STRAYER Andrew 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
70 MILLER Trent D. 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
71 CHOI Samuel 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1%
72 ANTON Nathaniel 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
72 CHIN Jason Y. - < 1% 5% 24% 45% 26%
74 CAI Oliver K. 8% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
75 JIN Dennis H. 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
75 POPESCU Tudor 6% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
77 FINLEY Dylan 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
78 DRESSEL Jet 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
79 KIM BANSEOK J. 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
80 WERWA Griffith 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
81 LI Ryan Z. 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
81 LE Vyn A. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
83 GARR James D. 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
84 TREANOR Donald K. 58% 35% 6% - - - -
85 LA BARR Edward T. 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.