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December NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, December 10, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
2 PAK Kaitlyn - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
3 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 POSSICK Lola P. - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
5 JOHNSON Honor B. - - - - 2% 20% 78%
6 KIM Zoe - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
7 CARVALHO Isabela A. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
8 GREENBAUM Atara R. - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
9 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
9 SHOMAN Jenna - - - 1% 11% 43% 46%
11 TZOU Alexandra - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
12 CHIN Erika J. - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
13 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
14 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
15 XI Shining - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 4%
16 GEYER Carolina M. 1% 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% -
17 CHEN Xiaohan - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
18 KOVACS Sophia - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
19 BLUM Leah I. - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 18%
20 LEE Alexandra B. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
21 MIKA Veronica - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
22 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - 1% 10% 32% 43% 13%
23 LU Vivian Y. - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
24 ANDRES Katherine A. - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
25 KIM Marley I. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
26 GOUHIN Chloe - - 2% 17% 44% 37%
27 BOIS Adele - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
28 TONG Kunling - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 17%
29 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 7%
30 HILD Nisha - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
31 SOURIMTO Valeria 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
32 LEE Hannah 2% 17% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
33 OISHI Megumi - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
34 CHIN Sophia J. - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
35 NATHANSON Sammy E. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
36 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
37 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
38 KALRA Himani V. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
38 PRIEUR Lauren 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
40 OLSEN Natalie J. - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
41 SADIK HANA - 5% 34% 43% 16% 2%
42 CAO Stephanie X. - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
43 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
44 KATZ Anat - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
45 MOZHAEVA MARIA - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
46 ERIKSON Kira R. 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
46 CHIANG Emily 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
48 CHANG Josephine S. - - 4% 18% 40% 34% 4%
49 CHEN Jane - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
50 LU Elaine 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
51 TAO Hannah J. - 1% 5% 21% 40% 30% 4%
52 HARRISON Imogen N. - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
53 GREENBAUM Ella K. - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
54 TIMOFEYEV Nicole - 1% 9% 31% 42% 16%
55 BEVACQUA Aria F. 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
56 MARSEE Samantha - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
57 CALLAHAN Chase J. 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
58 CHIOLDI Mina - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
59 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
60 SATHYANATH Kailing - 1% 4% 18% 35% 33% 10%
61 YUAN Greta 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
62 STONE Hava S. - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% -
63 BILILIES Sophia 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
64 NEIBART Fiona 10% 34% 37% 15% 3% -
65 WHANG Rebecca - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
66 CODY Alexandra C. - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
67 JOHNSON Lauren - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9%
68 LI Victoria J. - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8%
69 KER Grace - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
70 PENG Florella 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
71 HWANG Gabriela M. 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
72 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
73 SZETO Chloe - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
74 GORMAN Victoria M. 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 3%
74 YANG Angelina LeLe 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
76 LI Amanda C. - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
77 LEE Sophia 17% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
78 WIGGERS Susan Q. - - 7% 32% 46% 14%
79 GUTHIKONDA Nithya - - - 5% 24% 49% 22%
80 LEVITIS Danielle - 5% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
81 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
82 XIKES Katherine E. 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6% -
83 LIN Audrey J. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
84 NEWELL Alexia C. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
85 JOHNSON Dagny L. 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
86 LARIMER Katherine E. 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
87 GRAFF Sophie 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
88 NYSTROM Sofia C. 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
88 KHAN Alissa 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
90 GHAYALOD reya 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
91 WU Helen 4% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
92 MANSPERGER Leena 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% -
93 VADASZ Ibla P. - 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 3%
94 LUKASHENKO Angelina - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
95 YU Zhiang 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
96 NGUYEN Ella 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
97 LU Yi Lin 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
98 ALCEBAR Kayla 3% 20% 41% 28% 7% 1%
99 SINHA Anika - 5% 33% 43% 17% 2%
100 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 8% 36% 38% 15% 2% -
101 CHEN Ashley 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
102 VESTEL Mira B. - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
103 NAYAK Indra 32% 42% 21% 5% - -
104 DANK Dina 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
105 FEARNS Zara A. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
106 TUCKER Iman R. - 1% 9% 27% 40% 21% 2%
107 WEI Vivian W. 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
107 JULIEN Michelle - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
109 XU Ellen - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
110 BUHAY Rachel T. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
111 ENDO Miyuki N. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
111 ZENG Megan 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
113 LIU Sophie 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
114 JUNG Irene - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
114 XIAO julie 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
116 SU Emma 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
116 WANG Jianning 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
118 SO Catelyn 11% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
119 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
120 CHEN Xinyan 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
121 KUANG TongFei 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
122 MCKEE Ainsley 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
123 SADOVA Olga 42% 43% 14% 2% - -
124 BENOIT Adelaide L. 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
125 HE Lizbeth 17% 44% 29% 9% 1% -
126 NOVICK Mia J. 14% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
127 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
128 TABANGAY Heartlyn 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
129 FAN Grace 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
130 ELNATAN Mica A. 7% 61% 27% 4% - -
131 HENRY Soraya S. 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
132 BENTOLILA Thalia 21% 42% 28% 7% 1% -
133 LU Amy 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
134 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
135 KANTIPUDI Shrika 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
136 LIGH Erenei J. 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
137 JENKINS Scotland 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
138 DILLE Carolina G. 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
139 BARNOVITZ Maya 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
139 ZHANG Chenfei 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
141 EVANS Madelynn 22% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
142 ZHIZHIN Jeanette 72% 25% 3% - - - -
142 LI Angela 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
144 HUANG MADELINE 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
145 YANG Lea 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
146 BAKER Audrey C. 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
147 BOURGEOIS audreane 27% 43% 24% 6% - -
148 MORAN Rhea 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
149 HUNG Anna 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
150 OBRADOVIC Ana 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
151 JOHNSON Lydia 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
151 JOHNSTON Lily 24% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
153 BALAKUMARAN Maya 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
154 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
155 SHI Julia 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
156 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
157 BAWA Anahat 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
157 SCHICK Veronica 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
159 KOKAL Genevieve 87% 13% - - - -
160 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.