The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

December NAC

Cadet Men's Foil

Friday, December 10, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
2 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
3 CHEN Allen - - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
3 KIM Nicholas W. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
5 LI Richard - - 1% 10% 41% 47%
6 VAZQUEZ Zander - - 3% 25% 43% 24% 4%
7 GRAHAM Roy J. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
8 BRUK Peter J. - 2% 13% 36% 38% 11%
9 CHEN Andrew - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
9 BAS Liam - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
11 KWON Ethan - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
12 JEON Caleb A. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
13 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
14 WONG Adam L. - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
15 AHN Jun - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
16 PARK Jason B. 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
17 KAO Castor T. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
18 YANG Luao - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
19 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
20 WU Alexander - - 5% 23% 48% 24%
21 CULLIVAN Justice - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
22 LI Owen - - 1% 7% 32% 45% 16%
23 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 1% 11% 34% 40% 13%
24 SONG Aiden S. - - 1% 6% 25% 46% 22%
25 FOGELSON Frederick J. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
26 DAI Jonathan T. - 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
27 LO Conrad - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
28 BING Charles - 1% 12% 41% 39% 6%
29 YU Anders - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
30 SONG Leonardo T. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
31 MURUHIN Yaroslav - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 3%
32 JIANG Owen - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
33 BURKE Spencer W. - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
34 KIM Yonjae - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
35 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
36 ONIK Elijah T. - - 1% 5% 23% 45% 27%
37 DORAN Wesley C. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
38 LUH Ethan K. - - 2% 16% 43% 33% 7%
39 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - 1% 5% 24% 45% 26%
40 LIN Dashiell - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6%
41 LI Raphael C. - - 5% 27% 48% 19%
42 WU Nicholas - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
43 UM Ethan A. - - - 4% 29% 68%
44 WOO Christian - 21% 43% 28% 7% 1%
45 FUKUDA Alessio R. - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
46 COELHO Cristiano P. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
46 LOVIN Vlad 4% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
48 HORSLEY Alexander - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 3%
49 DEGROOT Blake 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
50 TSAY Jeremy M. - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
51 WILLIAMS Connor J. 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
52 SICHITIU Alexander - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
53 KNIZHNIK David 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
54 PELOSKY Zack B. - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
55 ZHANG Andy W. - - 2% 14% 45% 39%
56 LU Yikai - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
57 KEE Andrew L. 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
58 REEVES Liam 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% -
59 OH SEAN 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
60 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3%
60 DIERKS Kian - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
60 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
63 BANERJEE ANUP - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 17%
64 BAE Kevin - 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
65 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
66 WYMAN Julian - 4% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
67 HUTH Mitchell - - - 1% 13% 43% 43%
68 GODZHIK Zachary - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
69 SINGH Dayaal - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
70 WONG Antonio 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% -
71 GOGOI Vir K. 10% 34% 37% 16% 2% -
72 DU Samuel R. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
73 BADLANI Dev 4% 28% 40% 22% 5% - -
74 HOBSON Aaron K. - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 2%
75 SHA Yi Peng - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 6%
76 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - - 5% 24% 40% 26% 4%
77 ACHILOV Sayid - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
78 LI Eric - - 6% 26% 40% 23% 3%
79 KRYLTSOV Michael 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
80 TAN Christien - 6% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
81 MIN Eric - 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
82 FORTUNE Alexander J. 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
83 PALMA Matthew Dominic 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
84 WU Jerry - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
85 GOOR Julian - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
86 LIN Michael 4% 22% 41% 26% 6% -
87 PO Oliver 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
88 KLOTZ Isaiah 9% 40% 39% 10% 1% -
89 GAO William - 3% 18% 36% 32% 10% 1%
90 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - - 1% 12% 38% 39% 10%
91 HO Jia Le Sean - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
92 TSAI Max W. 1% 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
93 ZHANG Yun Isaac - - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
94 GONG Benjamin - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 3%
95 LIN James G. - 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
96 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 2% -
96 LIU Eric Y. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
96 LI Avery Peihong 2% 14% 36% 36% 11% 1% -
96 FINLEY Dylan 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
100 NAGER Noah 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
101 IVANENKO Alex 5% 50% 38% 6% - - -
102 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
103 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 3% 17% 37% 33% 9% 1%
104 ORVANANOS Jorge 1% 16% 41% 33% 8% 1%
105 BERK Theodore 1% 28% 44% 22% 5% -
106 WONG Garrick G. 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
107 LEE Lukas 8% 37% 42% 12% 1% -
108 ZHAI Jeffrey - 1% 14% 45% 35% 5%
108 KLYCZEK Andrew 8% 41% 38% 12% 1% -
110 ZHOU Oscar J. 1% 11% 37% 39% 12% 1%
111 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
112 KIM Ryan Y. 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
112 TORRES Treston 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
114 REYES Omar - 4% 27% 41% 23% 5% -
115 SIMA Congyu Josh 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
116 SISINNI Riccardo 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
117 OROSZLAN Daniel 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
118 LEE Jacob 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
119 LISONDRA Niko 7% 28% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
120 ANDERSON Jacob 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
120 PORRAS Cristian 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
122 JAIN Aditya - 3% 19% 40% 31% 7%
123 LEE Aidan 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
124 HOSKERI Anik S. 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
125 TRAUGOT Owen G. 6% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
126 LI Matthew 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
127 DOCTOR Aidan L. 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
127 TANG Owen S. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
129 WECHSLER Jacob 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
130 MUSHER Benjamin J. 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
130 DRESSEL Jet 1% 29% 52% 16% 2% - -
132 PITERBARG Maxim 8% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
133 LIM Lance Jeremiah 24% 43% 26% 6% - - -
134 WONG Adrian - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
135 DESHMUKH Arjun 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
136 LEWIS Akhil 3% 25% 40% 24% 7% 1% -
137 GONZALEZ Matthew 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
138 STRUGAR Marcus A. - - 6% 33% 41% 17% 2%
139 KIM Jackson 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
140 ORONOWICZ Jakub 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
141 DAVIDSON Elliot 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
142 SEAL Maximus R. 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
143 WU Lucas 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
144 RNO Kyler 62% 32% 6% - - - -
145 FU Samuel Y. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
146 ZHEN Ethan 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
147 BURBERRY Alan 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
148 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
149 TANG Albert 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
150 LI Arvin 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
151 HUANG Eythan 14% 38% 34% 12% 1% - -
152 FRANK Amir 77% 21% 2% - - - -
153 LIU Ryan 5% 65% 26% 4% - - -
154 LEE Jacob J 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 3%
155 DORE Davis 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
156 BUCKLEY-JONES Henry C. 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
157 ORLOV Dmitriy 20% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
158 EUH Jason 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
159 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 40% 42% 16% 3% - -
160 SANTOS Carlos R. 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% - -
161 YOUNG Owen 53% 38% 8% 1% - -
162 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
163 RIPA Joseph K. 96% 4% - - - -
163 AGRAWAL Niki 64% 31% 5% - - -
165 GORBACHEV Alexander 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
165 PIESNER Zachary C. 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
167 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 6% 45% 37% 10% 1% - -
168 KHER Roan 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
169 TANG August L. 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
169 CHOE Jayden K. 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
169 COUFAL Christian 86% 14% 1% - - - -
172 ZHAO Bowen 55% 36% 9% 1% - - -
173 EDISON Ansel 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
174 MARTIN William 90% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.