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December NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, December 11, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EMMER Chase T. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
2 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
3 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - - 1% 9% 39% 52%
3 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
5 NAGIMOV Marsel - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
6 CHEN Ziyuan - - - 4% 22% 47% 27%
7 LI Brandon H. - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
8 KIM Nicholas W. - - - 4% 20% 43% 34%
9 JEON Caleb A. - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
10 KASI Sanjay - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
11 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
12 LIU Patrick - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
13 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
14 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
15 BAS Liam - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20%
16 CHEN Andrew - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
17 OURSLER Jack - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
18 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - - - 2% 22% 76%
19 BURKE Spencer W. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
20 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
21 PARK Luke J. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
22 KAO Castor T. - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
23 YU Vinni - - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
24 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
25 LIU Justin - - - - 2% 22% 76%
26 BAE Kevin - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
27 SHIH William - - 5% 23% 38% 26% 6%
28 HUTH Jacob 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 6%
29 CHEN Allen - - 1% 13% 48% 38%
30 MURUHIN Yaroslav 1% 9% 31% 40% 18% 2%
31 LAURICELLA Douglas - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
32 HUTH Mitchell - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
33 STANLEY Mason B. - - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
34 LO Conrad - - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
35 XIAO Ethan J. - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
36 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
37 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - 1% 15% 50% 34%
38 GOOR Julian - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
39 YU Eric W. - - - 2% 17% 44% 37%
40 CHUNG Andrew N. - - - - 1% 18% 81%
41 LIN Dashiell - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
42 LI Jiaan - - 1% 10% 34% 43% 12%
43 KELLY William J. - - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
44 DIERKS Kian - 1% 12% 34% 37% 14% 1%
45 KWON Ethan - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 18%
46 WU Alexander - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
47 GAO William 1% 19% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
48 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
49 ZHANG Andy W. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
50 LEVY Jacob M. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
51 KIM Yonjae - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
52 KIM Brandon J. - - 2% 20% 52% 26%
53 JANG Jaewon - - 6% 30% 46% 18%
54 DESERANNO Jeidus - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
55 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 18%
56 AYUPOV Ilya - - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
57 ARIZA Isaac A. - 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
58 CHOUN Samuel Minwook - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
59 DAVIS Christopher M. - 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
60 CULLIVAN Justice - 1% 10% 35% 39% 14% 1%
61 MITCHELL Philip D. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
62 GIRALDO Pablo E. - 2% 15% 38% 36% 8%
63 SINGH Dayaal - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
64 WU Nicholas - 1% 8% 34% 38% 16% 2%
65 UM Ethan A. - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
66 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
66 LI Raphael C. - - 3% 17% 40% 35% 4%
68 FOGELSON Frederick J. - - 5% 27% 42% 22% 3%
69 VOGLER Justin K. - - 1% 14% 44% 41%
70 MORAIS Paulo - - - 9% 43% 47%
71 KUMBLA Samarth - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
72 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - 1% 9% 29% 38% 21% 4%
73 LI Richard - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
73 XIAO EDWARD - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
75 MCCLAIN Bryce C. - 1% 8% 26% 39% 24% 2%
76 HO Jia Le Sean 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
77 DAI Jonathan T. - 1% 7% 27% 41% 21% 3%
78 BELLUOMO David C. - 6% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
79 GODZHIK Zachary 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
80 LU Yikai - 1% 8% 32% 40% 18% 2%
81 ONIK Elijah T. - - 1% 10% 33% 43% 13%
82 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
83 SHEPHERD Conner M. 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
84 ACHILOV Sayid - 3% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
85 ZENG Lucas H. - - 5% 24% 43% 24% 4%
85 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
87 LI Owen - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
87 SEZER Kaya - 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
89 GRIFFIN John O. - - - 3% 21% 46% 29%
90 DEGROOT Blake 1% 22% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
91 VAZQUEZ Zander - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
92 GRIFFITH JACK - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
92 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 5% 22% 42% 28% 3%
92 ZHANG Yun Isaac - 4% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
95 OH Samuel H. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
96 OTAKE Jared K. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
97 YEROKHIN Michael N. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
98 WOO Christian 1% 9% 34% 37% 17% 3% -
99 CANNON Caiden C. - - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
100 NAGER Noah 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
101 ZHENG Alan H. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
102 MIN Eric 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
103 TSAY Jeremy M. 1% 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
104 HORSLEY Alexander - 1% 16% 53% 27% 4%
105 DICKSON Farr R. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
106 KLOSTERMANN Max - 4% 21% 43% 27% 5%
107 KO Brian J. - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
108 WU Alexander - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18% 1%
109 RUSADZE Nickolas - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
110 ZHAO Jason L. - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
111 DARIANO Noah G. - 5% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1%
112 LUH Ethan K. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
113 DU Samuel R. - 6% 26% 40% 22% 5% -
114 REALS Alden D. - 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5%
115 SICHITIU Alexander - 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
116 GONG Benjamin 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 4% -
117 LIMA Kevin M. - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
118 AHN Jun - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
119 SHA Yi Peng - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 1%
120 LOCKWOOD Owen - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
121 LIN James G. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
122 SCHENCK Koen M. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
123 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
124 WANG mason 12% 46% 32% 9% 1% - -
125 WONG Adrian - 8% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1%
126 BANERJEE ANUP - - 3% 19% 41% 31% 5%
127 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
128 LIN Richard W. - 1% 9% 34% 43% 13%
129 YU Anders - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
130 DOCTOR Aidan L. 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
131 BRUK Peter J. 1% 6% 26% 42% 22% 3%
132 YANG Luao - - 3% 19% 40% 30% 7%
133 HOWARD Michael 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
134 ZHANG Henry C. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
135 DIVITO Dylan - - 2% 16% 41% 36% 4%
136 BARTEL Jacob L. 2% 23% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
136 TSIMIKLIS Yanni - 5% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
138 JAIN Aditya - 1% 12% 33% 35% 15% 2%
139 BING Charles 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 9% -
140 WU Jerry - 3% 22% 50% 23% 3%
141 DORAN Wesley C. 3% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
142 OH SEAN 2% 20% 41% 29% 7% -
143 KNIZHNIK David 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
144 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
145 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - - 5% 24% 43% 25% 2%
146 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 1% 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
147 LE Vyn A. 1% 13% 35% 35% 15% 2% -
148 REEVES Liam 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
149 WONG Garrick G. 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
150 LI Matthew 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 1% -
151 PYO Michael M. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
152 LIU Eric Y. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
153 CURLEY Sebastian D. 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
154 JIANG Owen 1% 16% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
155 WECHSLER Jacob 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
156 WAN Jason - 1% 11% 35% 39% 13% 1%
157 BERK Theodore 3% 30% 42% 21% 4% - -
158 REZNICK Nicholas J. - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
159 COELHO Cristiano P. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
160 FU Samuel Y. - 1% 11% 34% 38% 14% 1%
161 FORTUNE Alexander J. - 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
162 LEE Aidan 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
163 WILLIAMS Connor J. 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
164 LEE Lukas 21% 44% 28% 6% - - -
165 ORVANANOS Jorge 4% 27% 41% 22% 5% - -
166 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan - 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
167 LI Avery Peihong 1% 29% 48% 19% 3% - -
168 BAE Junnie 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
168 GERVAIS Joel - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
170 PORRAS Cristian 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2% -
170 UPTON Craig 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
172 HOBSON Aaron K. 6% 28% 41% 21% 4% -
172 LEE Jacob J 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
174 TSAI Max W. 1% 26% 55% 17% 1% -
175 BUERGIN Aidan 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
176 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 27% 45% 24% 5% - -
177 LOVIN Vlad 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
178 BADLANI Dev 2% 33% 48% 15% 1% -
179 QUINONES Diego A. 4% 28% 44% 20% 3% -
180 FUKUDA Alessio R. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
181 TAN Christien - 5% 26% 40% 24% 6% -
182 GRAHAM Roy J. - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
183 BOBROW Logan - 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
184 CHENG Matthew S. - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
185 REYES Omar 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
186 TRAUGOT Owen G. 4% 39% 41% 14% 2% - -
186 DAVIDSON Elliot 23% 45% 26% 5% - - -
186 STRAYER Andrew 6% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
189 KRYLTSOV Michael 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
190 HOSKERI Anik S. 4% 34% 46% 14% 2% - -
191 ZHAI Jeffrey 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
192 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
193 TANG Owen S. 1% 22% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
194 PALMA Matthew Dominic 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2% -
194 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 30% 46% 20% 3% - - -
196 ROUNTREE Rob 1% 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
197 SISINNI Riccardo 9% 43% 36% 11% 1% - -
198 SONG Leonardo T. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
199 PITERBARG Maxim 12% 45% 33% 9% 1% - -
200 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
200 DESHMUKH Arjun 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
202 LI Eric - 5% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
203 ORLOV Dmitriy 21% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
204 WYMAN Julian - 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
204 ORONOWICZ Jakub 2% 30% 43% 21% 4% - -
206 ZHENG zhe 7% 42% 40% 10% 1% - -
207 PIESNER Zachary C. 20% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
208 BUCKLEY-JONES Henry C. 57% 35% 8% 1% - -
209 HSIUNG Richie 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
210 SIMA Congyu Josh 22% 45% 27% 6% - -
211 OROSZLAN Daniel 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
212 MCCORD Clark 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
213 SANTOS Carlos R. 8% 56% 33% 4% - -
214 GOGOI Vir K. 13% 43% 35% 9% 1% -
215 KIM Ryan Y. 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
216 PO Oliver 6% 34% 40% 17% 3% -
217 RIPA Joseph K. 87% 13% 1% - - -
218 KEE Andrew L. 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
219 LEWIS Akhil 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
220 SONG Aiden S. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 3%
221 SEAL Maximus R. 1% 49% 38% 11% 1% - -
222 LISONDRA Niko 22% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
223 CHOE Jayden K. 34% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
224 KLYCZEK Andrew 33% 45% 18% 3% - - -
224 TORRES Treston 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
226 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 3%
227 WONG Antonio 1% 25% 44% 24% 5% - -
228 LIN Michael 1% 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
229 LEE Jacob 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
230 FINLEY Dylan 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
231 DRESSEL Jet 29% 47% 20% 3% - - -
232 ANDERSON Jacob 1% 39% 45% 14% 2% - -
232 PARK Jason B. 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
234 KHER Roan 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
235 PITCHER Skylar L. - 5% 24% 41% 24% 6% -
236 BROWN Alexander R. 4% 31% 40% 20% 4% - -
237 ZHEN Ethan 11% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
238 HUANG Eythan 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
239 GALLUCCI Charles John 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
240 DESHMUKH Ayush 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
241 MUSHER Benjamin J. 3% 30% 42% 21% 4% - -
242 LI Arvin 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
243 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 22% 51% 23% 4% - - -
244 PRASANNA Advaith 2% 41% 45% 11% 1% -
245 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
246 WU Lucas 51% 39% 9% 1% - -
247 RNO Kyler 76% 22% 2% - - - -
247 LIU Ryan 50% 41% 8% 1% - - -
247 EDISON Ansel 88% 12% 1% - - - -
250 KLEIN Sebastian W. 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
250 HILMER Michael 24% 46% 24% 6% 1% - -
252 KIM Jackson 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
253 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 5% 30% 41% 20% 4% - -
253 SELL Ethan J. 11% 37% 38% 12% 1% - -
253 HOLLAND Niklas 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
253 GONZALEZ Matthew 61% 33% 5% - - - -
257 LIM Lance Jeremiah 58% 35% 6% - - - -
258 WILKINS Mateo 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
259 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
260 JEFFERS Edison 82% 17% 1% - - -
261 KLOTZ Isaiah 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
261 EVANS noah 80% 18% 1% - - - -
261 GNEUHS Sam 82% 17% 1% - - - -
261 MARTIN William 95% 5% - - - - -
261 EUH Jason 79% 20% 2% - - - -
261 GRANADOS Luis 66% 30% 4% - - - -
267 ZHAO Bowen 69% 28% 3% - - - -
267 TITUANA Mathias 30% 48% 19% 3% - - -
269 FRANK Amir 85% 14% 1% - - - -
270 FECHTMEYER Theodore 82% 16% 1% - - - -
270 AGRAWAL Niki 75% 23% 2% - - - -
270 COUFAL Christian 97% 3% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.