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December NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Sunday, December 12, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 MCDOWALD Curtis E. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
2 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
3 HADZIC Alen - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
3 HANSEN Jonas B. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
5 RAMIREZ Yeisser - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
6 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
7 FRENCH Dylan - - - 1% 5% 14% 23% 26% 19% 9% 3% - -
8 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - - 1% 4% 11% 22% 27% 21% 11% 3% -
9 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
10 CANDELA Nicholas - - - - 1% 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 17% 6% 1%
11 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - 1% 11% 36% 40% 12%
12 CIPRIANI Andrea - - - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 27% 23% 11% 2%
13 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
14 RONG Yao - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 26% 23% 13% 4% 1%
15 YOO Justin - - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
16 LANGE Henry C. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
17 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
17 GRIFFITHS Ryan - 1% 8% 23% 36% 25% 7%
19 COMES Matthew J. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
20 SILVERS Noah E. - - - - 2% 7% 15% 24% 25% 18% 8% 2% -
21 SMITH Dwight - - - - 2% 7% 15% 24% 26% 18% 7% 1%
22 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - - - - 1% 5% 15% 27% 29% 18% 5%
23 SHELANSKI Isaac - - - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 25% 16% 7% 2% -
24 LAWSON Henry A. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
25 ZAGORUIKO Ivan - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
26 SMOAK Omari Z. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
27 SANDERS Ian W. - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 27% 24% 13% 4% -
28 LIVERANT Skyler J. - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
29 ZAFFT Maximo S. - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 25% 18% 8% 2% - -
30 YERGLER Jonathan A. - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 23% 11% 2%
31 INSLER Ethan C. - 3% 11% 21% 27% 22% 12% 4% 1% - - -
32 CANAUX Gabriel A. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
33 DUNCAN Corwin - - - - 2% 6% 16% 27% 27% 16% 5% 1%
34 RODNEY Adam R. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
35 KADYSZEWSKI Mateo - - - - - 2% 7% 16% 26% 27% 16% 6% 1%
36 KAULL James T. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
37 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - - - - - 1% 3% 12% 26% 34% 21% 4%
38 KRAFT Dennis A. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
39 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 2% - - -
40 TSINIS Alexander E. - - - - - - 2% 8% 20% 32% 28% 10%
41 FRAY Alexander - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 24% 17% 8% 3% - - -
42 NOLLNER Dylan - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
43 GANA Jr Jorge M. - 1% 4% 12% 21% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% - -
44 MOORE Shomari A. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
44 WEISS Miles J. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
46 TAFOYA Devin D. - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 25% 16% 5% 1%
47 JONES Simon A. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
48 SLAVINSKIY Alan - - 2% 7% 17% 25% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
49 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
50 PARK Ian C. - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 19% 10% 3% 1% - - -
51 KUSHNERIK Ethan - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
52 ISAAC Joseph - - - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 27% 18% 7% 1%
53 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. - - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 20% 10% 3% 1% -
54 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 2% 8% 18% 26% 24% 14% 6% 2% - - -
55 HOLTZ Donovan K. - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% -
56 BEDOR William J. - - - 1% 5% 12% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% 1% -
57 O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. - - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 23% 32% 25% 7%
58 BRUNET Nathan - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 23% 14% 6% 1% - -
59 JIN Owen - 2% 9% 19% 26% 23% 14% 5% 1% - - -
60 IYOKI Kent - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
61 KAMBESELES Peter G. - 1% 4% 13% 24% 28% 20% 9% 2% - -
62 ZHANG Nicholas Z. - - - 2% 8% 17% 25% 25% 16% 6% 1% -
63 LIU Alexander 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
64 KIMATIAN Harrison J. - - - - 2% 6% 14% 23% 26% 19% 8% 2% -
65 HADDAD Justin R. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
66 GERAGHTY Michael P. - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% -
67 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
68 FULLERTON Houston T. - - 3% 9% 19% 25% 23% 14% 6% 2% - - -
69 SAITOC Tudor - - - 1% 5% 12% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% 1% -
70 KUMAR Anitya 1% 4% 14% 25% 27% 18% 8% 3% 1% - - -
71 WIMMER Chandler M. - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 10% 4% 1% - -
72 ROBINSON Riley - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% -
73 SHERWOOD Dominic 1% 5% 15% 26% 27% 17% 7% 2% - - - -
74 RUSSANOV Dennis - - 2% 9% 19% 26% 23% 13% 5% 1% - -
75 JEYOON Ryan S. - 1% 7% 17% 26% 25% 15% 6% 2% - - -
76 MACZIK Adam W. - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1% -
77 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - - 3% 9% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% - - -
77 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 2% 9% 19% 26% 23% 14% 6% 1% - - - -
79 PETROSEWICZ Thomas (TJ) ". - - 1% 5% 14% 24% 27% 19% 8% 2% - -
80 MANDOKI Sandor I. - - - 2% 6% 14% 23% 24% 18% 9% 3% - -
81 SHIV Rishi - 1% 6% 16% 25% 25% 16% 7% 2% - - - -
82 VERMEULE Spencer - - - - - 1% 4% 11% 22% 28% 22% 10% 2%
83 ZHAO Luhan 5% 19% 29% 25% 14% 5% 1% - - - - - -
84 ZHU Zimo - - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 23% 13% 5% 1% -
84 KROPP Jack - 2% 9% 18% 25% 23% 14% 6% 2% - - - -
84 RODNEY Maxwell 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
87 ZHANG Zan 12% 29% 31% 19% 7% 2% - - - - - - -
88 MOSES Alexander - 1% 6% 16% 25% 25% 17% 8% 2% - - - -
89 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. - 1% 6% 16% 26% 26% 17% 7% 2% - - -
90 DOLGONOS Mark - - 2% 8% 19% 27% 24% 14% 5% 1% -
91 PRASAD Ankith - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - - -
92 HE Lawrence 2% 11% 24% 29% 21% 9% 3% 1% - - - - -
93 MUNLIN Donovan 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 4% -
94 BINDAS Odinn A. - 3% 12% 23% 27% 20% 10% 3% 1% - - - -
95 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 3% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - - -
95 GAO Daniel - 3% 10% 21% 26% 22% 12% 5% 1% - - - -
97 SWANSON Lars M. 1% 7% 18% 26% 25% 15% 6% 2% - - - -
98 NDJEKA Jesse 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
99 LARSEN Samuel F. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
100 SHAH S Ayush - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
101 KARAUSKY Joshua C. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5%
102 POPOVICI Michael A. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
103 SMITH Nicholas S. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 3%
104 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
105 LEE Ryan - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
106 NORTH Gary S. - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 21%
106 WU Joseph - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
108 LONCAR Luka E. - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
109 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
110 KHANNA Nikhil 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
111 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
112 GRAYSON Shane W. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
113 WATRALL Rick 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
114 SHARMA Sanil - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
115 ELLIS Yehia S. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
116 GOLDFINE Ian J. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
117 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 3% 22% 36% 26% 10% 2% -
118 MUGA Boris 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
119 SHAH Maximilian A. 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
120 ZHU Max - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
121 BORATIN Daniel I. 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
122 LEE Alexander G. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
123 AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
124 SOOMRO Adam A. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
125 GRAY Sterling B. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
125 KOKENGE Clark - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
125 KIM Benjamin I. 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
128 CUMMINGS Atticus C. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
129 SILVER Cameron - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
130 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
131 WHITE Khristopher E. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
132 TABLEMAN Doug S. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
133 WALSH Kevin 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
134 GUO Austin S. 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
135 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
136 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
137 SZABO Domonkos 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
138 KOKENGE Reid 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
139 WIEDER Benjamin (Ben) J. - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 7%
139 ANDREEV Arthur - - 4% 16% 35% 35% 10%
141 ASHER Jacob 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
142 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 5% 32% 41% 19% 3%
143 SODERBERG Alex Z. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
144 YOUNG Peyton E. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
145 PARK Brian 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
146 TRAGER Matthew G. - - 4% 16% 37% 35% 8%
147 EMARA Omar 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
148 LIM Timothy D. 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
149 CHIEN Zachary M. 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
150 MELCHER Jack H. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
151 GYURE Brayden H. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1%
152 NOWAK Jakub P. 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
153 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
154 BRADFORD Jack M. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
155 WONG Daniel 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
156 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% -
157 SENNEWALD James J. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
158 IVAKIMOV Vasil 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
159 DE GUZMAN Inaki P. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 4%
160 MCKEEVER Luca 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
161 LEE Seungwon 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
162 FULLER George K. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
163 BUYANOV Nikita V. 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
164 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
165 GREEN Ummi 9% 48% 33% 9% 1% -
166 MALLOY Patrick G. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
166 CHONG christopher - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
168 CHAWLA Armaan 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
169 HILBERT Xavier - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
170 CARPENTER Liam - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
171 HILBERT Gabriel E. 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
172 LIEF Isaac R. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
173 XU Zitong (Evan) - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
174 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
174 MORSE Tyler 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
176 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
177 BODON Michele I. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
178 PRIHODKO Max 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
179 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
179 CARRIER Gabriel A. 10% 40% 34% 13% 2% - -
179 CLICK Aiden - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
182 JOSEPH William 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
183 GIBSON Nowell L. 2% 20% 42% 29% 7%
184 LI Brian X 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
185 MALYSZ Anthony J. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
186 KIM William M. 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
187 KIM Donghyeok - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
188 KIM Sterling S. 62% 32% 6% - -
189 WILKINSON Derek H. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
190 RHYU Kozmo 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
191 SHETTY Surya 29% 44% 22% 5% - -
192 TRIMMER Colin 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% -
193 MILLER Jeffrey E. - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
194 CAI Brian 2% 10% 27% 34% 22% 5%
195 LI Chenyu 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
196 VALES Keyan 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
197 GREGORY Abram 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
197 LIU Kyle 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
199 SCHULZE Ethan 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 2% -
200 LI Jesse - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
201 DANIEL Camron 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
202 NIXON Christian A. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
203 SUVOROV Yuly - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
203 WEAVER Neil 11% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
205 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
205 SHEN Max 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
207 MACARTY Jordan T. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
208 KILUK Andrew 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
209 DEKERMANJI Christopher 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
209 XIANG Hongyi 31% 46% 19% 3% - - -
211 VELINOV Gabriel 9% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
211 DOELEMAN zeno 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
213 WILSON Jeffrey M. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
214 FAYEZ Sherif - 8% 31% 43% 19%
215 GORNOVSKY David J. - < 1% 4% 20% 43% 33%
216 SINGHA Orion 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
217 GAGNON Isaac - 2% 14% 39% 36% 10%
218 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
219 HENSAL Nicolas A. 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1%
220 LEE Shwan 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
221 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
222 COHEN Jared E. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
223 TOWNSEND Avery S. - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
224 MICKO Fritz K. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
225 JOVANOVIC Jovan - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
226 PARK Frederick 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
227 MA Victor 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
228 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
229 GARRETT Samuel 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
230 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
230 LEE Samuel Y. 26% 45% 23% 5% 1% - -
232 ROSTAL Scott E. - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
233 SMITH Jackson 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
234 KAMBESELES Jack M. - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
235 MATTIS George 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
236 USHER Alexander 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
237 SMITH Justin C. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
238 SCHULTZ Alex 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
238 YAO Geoffrey B. 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
238 HE Zhiheng 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
238 STRAUSS Luke 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
242 MURPHY Thomas P. 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
243 GATZA Logan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
244 EVANS noah 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
245 SPIER Julian H. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
246 PARK Jong-Eun 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
247 PHAM Sawyer T. 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
247 DENNIS Ethan 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
249 DIVERIS Joseph 56% 36% 7% 1% - - -
250 OH Matthew M. 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
251 NGUYEN Tate 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
252 EVANS Grant 74% 24% 2% - - -
253 KRAJ Pawel 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
253 CLARK Carson 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
255 DOLMETSCH Max 9% 32% 37% 19% 4% -
256 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
256 NIKOLOV Peter 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
258 NESTEROV Andrew E. 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
259 PAHLAVI Kamran 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
260 ELYADERANI Paxon 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.