The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

American Challenge RYC/RJCC Reg Opens 1/15

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, April 3, 2021 at 4:00 PM

King of Prussia, PA - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JING Emily - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
2 LUNG Katerina - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
3 LESLIE Ryanne T. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
3 CHEN Jia P. - - 6% 25% 44% 24%
5 KOO Rachel A. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
6 NEWHARD Zelia K. 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
7 KIM Rachael - - 6% 25% 44% 25%
8 SADAN Jordan E. - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
9 ZHENG Ivy - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
10 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. - - 1% 11% 36% 39% 13%
11 GRIFFIN Emma G. - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
12 EYER Hailey M. - 1% 17% 38% 32% 11% 1%
13 APELIAN Katherine - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
14 PEVZNER Victoria - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
15 SHAW Kayla M. - 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
16 HE Fenghuan - - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7%
17 ZHANG Alina C. - 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
18 HUANG NATALIE - 3% 28% 41% 23% 5% -
19 OUYANG Bridgette Z. - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 7%
20 CHEN Allison V. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
21 ADAMS KIM Natalie 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 3%
22 SOOD Ishani S. - - 1% 13% 38% 36% 10%
23 LEE Brianna J. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
24 DAVIA Daniella V. - - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
25 PAHLAVI Dahlia - 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
26 LEE Bethany W. - - 7% 27% 39% 23% 4%
27 OH Erin H. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
28 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
29 KHOO Lauren A. - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
30 SHEN Sophia H. - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
31 JANG Kimberley - 1% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
32 CHO Cameron S. - 1% 14% 35% 35% 14% 2%
33 HO Brianna W. - - 1% 7% 28% 42% 22%
34 CHO Rebecca H. - 2% 23% 40% 27% 7% 1%
35 HECKMANN Emma - - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
36 KOENIG Charlotte R. - - 2% 16% 37% 34% 11%
36 SARTORI Taylor M. - - 7% 27% 39% 23% 4%
38 YE Eileen - - 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
39 ACHILOVA Feyza 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
40 MILLER Naomi E. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
41 DU Hannah 3% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
42 LEE Lavender - 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
43 XUE Alanna - 3% 23% 41% 26% 7% 1%
44 LOCKE Savannah - 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1%
44 LI Meilin - - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
46 YU Lauren C. 1% 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
47 WU Irene M. - 2% 16% 39% 32% 11% 1%
48 PERLMAN Talia 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
49 SHEN Lydia - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
50 PAVE Claire 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
51 ZHAO Sophie L. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
52 MEI Sarah 20% 54% 22% 3% - - -
53 COSTELLO Angeline S. - - 7% 27% 39% 23% 4%
54 WEINTRAUB Io H. - 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
55 MI Anning 7% 59% 28% 5% - - -
56 ZHOU Catherine 26% 58% 14% 1% - - -
57 KOSLOW Amicie 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
58 CHARALEL Jessica 63% 32% 5% - - -
59 WONG Sophia M. 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1%
60 SEO IRENE Y. 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
60 GU Emily 14% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
62 ROY Layla 1% 11% 41% 34% 11% 2% -
63 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 27% 50% 22% 1% - - -
64 ASCHETTINO Aurora 63% 34% 2% - - - -
65 CHEN Jasmine 13% 43% 38% 6% - - -
66 XIANG Emma 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
67 SU Michelle 15% 41% 32% 11% 2% -
68 TRACZ Calleigh D. 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -
69 LEE Kaitlyn 44% 51% 5% - - - -
70 PAULUS Isabella 25% 59% 15% 1% - - -
71 ORVANANOS Anice 8% 40% 37% 13% 2% -
71 MI Aileen 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
73 LENZ Zoe N. 42% 41% 15% 2% - -
74 SHTROM Uma A. 61% 36% 3% - - - -
75 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 58% 37% 5% - - - -
75 PARK Leah 87% 13% - - - - -
77 OETZEL Taylor 46% 49% 5% - - - -
78 SUSINO Gabriella 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
79 HOWELL Jocelyn 23% 46% 26% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.