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Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 2:00 PM

Event Center at Valley Forge, 1160 1st Ave - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NOVOJILOV Alexei - - 2% 15% 45% 39%
2 SERAFIN Ben - - 5% 25% 47% 23%
3 WEI Zheng (Jonny) - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
3 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
5 OTTO Nathaniel B. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
6 PARK Frederick - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
7 TEH Steven - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
8 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 1% 10% 34% 39% 14% 2%
9 PARK Nicholas - 5% 25% 40% 24% 5%
10 MAHESH Tarun - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
11 CHEN Jun Ho - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
12 CHEN Zhong Han - 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
13 FUSSMAN Yuval - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
14 HU Robert J. 4% 24% 37% 25% 9% 1% -
15 ZHANG ethan 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
16 KNOX James - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
17 WANG Max S 3% 18% 41% 31% 8% 1%
18 NGUYEN Damien - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
19 NORDQUIST Zach 15% 44% 31% 9% 1% -
20 KIM Dylan 24% 46% 25% 5% - -
21 SHEAFFER Ethan 44% 42% 13% 2% - -
22 BYUN Kevin 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
23 BRENNAN Quinlan 2% 11% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
24 MCWILLIAMS Miles 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
25 ELHADY Amr - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
26 TANG WanLi 31% 46% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.