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November NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, November 11, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MERCHANT Marcel J. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
2 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
3 PARK Donghwan - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
3 HU William - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
5 MOON Sean H. - - 1% 5% 24% 46% 24%
6 HEATHCOCK Antonio - - 4% 19% 40% 31% 6%
7 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 13%
8 BOLTON Braydon A. 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
9 SCHMITT Trenton R. - - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
9 CHAN Zachary D. - - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
11 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
12 KIM Stephen E. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
13 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 2% 32% 42% 20% 4% < 1%
14 JOHNSON Andrew J. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
15 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
16 PORTMANN Stein J. - 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
17 MIKA Casper - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
17 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
19 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - - 3% 16% 40% 39%
20 ATTIG Will T. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
21 DODRILL Grant - - 2% 13% 42% 35% 8%
22 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - 1% 7% 20% 33% 29% 10%
22 MARSEE James 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
24 LIM Ryan Y. - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
25 DEMAREST Iain - - 1% 11% 34% 39% 14%
26 OWENS William - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
27 YANG Kevin S. - 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
28 SAKHAMURI Surya - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
29 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
30 LAI Adam J. - - 1% 11% 36% 41% 10%
31 NI AMEN Zahir K. - 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% -
32 KANG Brandon M. 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
33 LEE Kyle - - - 5% 32% 62%
34 KIM Sean G. - - - 5% 34% 60%
35 NADILE Henry V. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
36 CHEN Alan - - 2% 16% 40% 36% 6%
37 LIMB Matthew G. - - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
38 HUSSAIN Faaris - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
39 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
40 WINKLER Lucas G. - - 6% 35% 40% 16% 2%
41 SOHN Kevin J. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
42 BACON Elias (Eli) H. - - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
43 DROZ Camden J. 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
44 GREENWOOD Thomas R. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
45 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
46 LIANG Connor - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 9%
47 DHINGRA Gian K. - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
48 MCFADDEN Shae Q. - 2% 18% 41% 33% 6%
49 CAI Lawrence (Larry) - 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
50 DIACOS Jordan - - 4% 20% 40% 31% 4%
51 KIM Minwook - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
52 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - 4% 22% 43% 26% 4%
53 SHEPANEK Noah M. - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
54 AURAY Phileas - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
54 HEATHCOCK Colin 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
56 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
57 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
58 ZHOU Matthew R. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
59 YAO Jonathan - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
60 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam - - 4% 14% 31% 35% 16%
61 JI Cody Walter - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
62 DANNULL Lukas J. - 1% 6% 23% 40% 25% 5%
63 NOBLE Daniel 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
63 HE Brendan - 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
65 DINU Nicholas D. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
66 WOOD Elden S. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
67 TONG Qilin - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
68 HARVEY Nicholas J. - 1% 11% 36% 43% 8%
69 KIM Avery J. - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
70 YEN Preston 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
71 PASTOR-JOBIN Matis 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
72 YANG Ziyi - - 1% 10% 36% 42% 11%
73 HOLMES Aiden G. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
74 ZHOU Justin - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
75 D'ORAZIO Joseph - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
76 GREEN IV James (Bud) - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
77 JEFFORDS Alexander - 4% 21% 45% 27% 4%
78 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Akhil 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
79 MILLER Levi H. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
80 BAILEY Asher - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
81 ERACHSHAW Taras P. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
82 MORREALE John 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
83 YOUNG Nash - 1% 8% 30% 38% 19% 3%
85 SMITH David C. - - 1% 13% 40% 39% 7%
86 HONG Vincent Q. 5% 33% 42% 17% 3% - -
87 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - - 4% 21% 47% 28%
88 LO Joshua H. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
88 KIM Benjamin H. 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
90 DENNER Lysander H. - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
91 SHI Andrew 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
92 PAN Jerry - 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
93 ZHOU Miles 8% 43% 35% 11% 2% - -
94 CHEN Brian - - 1% 6% 26% 46% 21%
95 RAI Avin - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
96 YATES Colum C. 2% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
97 PRIEST Leighton K. 1% 8% 27% 38% 23% 5%
98 RIVERA Inigo Franco - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
99 LILOV Neil - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
100 HONG Marshall Q. - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
101 NG Jonathan H. 2% 22% 41% 27% 7% 1%
102 GILMORE Thomas W. - 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
103 BERRIO Carter E. 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
104 SINGER Carson - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 1%
105 HARLEY Colby A. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
106 GINIS Nathan - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
108 LAHOTSKA Yahor - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
109 SMITH Mitchell M. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
110 CHANG Eliot A. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
111 LIN John A. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
112 POPE Nico - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
113 BERGER Oliver 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
115 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
116 LAUDON Konrad 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
117 BROWNE JR ROLSTON D. - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 3%
118 PAN Andrew W. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
119 GILLIGAN Wolff - 8% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
120 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 23% 45% 27% 5% - -
121 MAHONEY Colin M. 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
122 KOKKIN Jack S. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
123 QUAN Nicholas 6% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
124 MORRILL William - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
125 ESCUETA Tony V. - 2% 15% 36% 34% 11% 1%
126 GANTA Vijay 5% 23% 39% 27% 6% 1% -
127 STONE Jack V. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
128 GAFFNEY John M. 59% 34% 7% 1% - - -
129 SMITLEY Tyler J. - 7% 33% 41% 16% 2% -
130 LINSKY Matthew 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
130 LIU David J. 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
132 RAJA Arnav - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
133 SO Hananiah - - 5% 25% 40% 25% 5%
134 LEVIN Mark A. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
135 CHEN Oscar 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
136 CABLE Dante 1% 30% 42% 21% 5% - -
137 LUKASHENKO Darii - 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
138 LIN William 2% 29% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
139 WIND Nicky E. - - 2% 11% 34% 41% 12%
140 TAKEMARU Leo - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
141 BRAR Sanjeet - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
142 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
143 MARICONDA Christopher - - 6% 30% 49% 15%
144 HAMMERSTROM Jared 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
145 ROPER Evan C. - 6% 28% 42% 22% 3%
146 BARNETT Peter - 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
147 HUANG Eric - 6% 24% 38% 24% 6% -
148 DESROSIERS Olivier 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
149 KOUNALAKIS Evangelos T. 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
150 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
151 RYAN Edward T. - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
152 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
152 CHAN Matthew - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
154 TRINH Trevor Z. 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
155 ORPILLA Apolo A. 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
156 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. - 2% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4%
157 BERMAN Luca 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
157 TRAVERS Samir T. 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
159 MORRILL Justin - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
160 DENNER Maximilian P. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
161 PARKHURST Jr Michael - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
162 LASORSA Matthew 2% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
163 BRUSIE Christopher R. 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
164 HOEY-WASOW Henry 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
164 TANG Alex Y. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
166 NEUHEARDT Peter 3% 21% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
167 BARNEY Corbin 7% 33% 44% 14% 1% - -
168 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 1% 10% 37% 38% 13% 1%
169 BECKER Dylan J. 1% 14% 38% 35% 11% 1%
170 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - - 7% 35% 47% 12%
171 EPSTEIN Henry N. 26% 47% 23% 3% - -
172 XU Luke 1% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2%
173 JINICH Ilan R. 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
174 MYERS Kaleb S. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
175 CHO Brandon 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
176 NARANJO David E. 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
177 GREENBAUM Ian L. 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2% -
178 LU Timothy - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
179 MORTON-SALMON Sasha 16% 42% 32% 9% 1% - -
180 KEEFE Duncan 10% 37% 41% 11% 1% - -
181 BARBER William S. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
182 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
182 CHENNURU Nischal - 2% 13% 40% 34% 11% 1%
184 BOUANANI Zachariah I. 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
185 WUN William 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% 1%
185 ZHOU Kevin 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
187 MICHNA Colin P. 1% 9% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
188 KIM Andrew H. 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
189 LUO ZIRUI 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
190 DILLREE Spencer S. 1% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
191 TANN Justin - 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
192 CHEN Lucas B. 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
192 DU Gavin J. 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
194 JEAN Noe T. - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
195 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
196 RESHEIDAT Malik 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
197 REINSCH-GOLDSTEIN Alexander N. 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
198 BULL Anderson 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
199 YANG Richard 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
200 FANG David 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
201 SAMMI Mukund 16% 49% 28% 6% - -
202 MENTA Varun 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
203 FRISHMAN Ethan J. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
204 REYES Xavier M. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
205 LI Joshua L. 6% 28% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
206 DESAI Drewv D. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
207 HINGNEKAR Aniket 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% - -
208 VAN DER MERWE Fabian 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
209 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 6% 27% 41% 23% 4% - -
210 YOU Jaden 33% 44% 19% 3% - - -
211 HOUTZ Jackson 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
212 RYAN Will 48% 42% 9% 1% - - -
212 LEE Conner M. - 11% 34% 36% 15% 2% -
214 KOTOV Leonid 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
215 LEFEVRE Colin B. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
215 CONINE Tanner C. 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
215 KOGAN Benjamin - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
218 CHANG Colin S. 3% 31% 40% 20% 5% - -
219 CHIN Matthew W. 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
220 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 71% 25% 4% - - - -
221 CHEONG Heonjae - 7% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
221 VAUGHN Justin T. 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
223 ATEFI Daniel 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
224 CHAVES Matthew J. 40% 44% 15% 1% - - -
225 FLORES Peter D. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
226 SIMAK Joseph P. 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
227 MAKLIN Edward P. 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
228 HURST Alexander 6% 25% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
229 VAUGHN Michael R. 54% 38% 7% 1% - -
230 TONG ZACHARY 10% 36% 40% 13% 1% -
232 KESSENS Keith J. 78% 20% 2% - - - -
232 HUANG Ian 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
234 HAN William 66% 29% 5% - - - -
235 WU Wilmund 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% -
236 SAINT-PIERRE-MENARD Colin 13% 42% 34% 10% 1% - -
236 ALTIRS Alexander 79% 19% 2% - - - -
239 SHERWOOD Hayden F. 13% 40% 34% 11% 1% - -
239 LEE Justin 1% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
242 ELIN Adam E. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
243 KATZ Daniel 16% 45% 34% 5% - - -
243 LE Hayden 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
246 ZHOU Aeres Z. 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
246 GUZZO Vito 72% 26% 3% - - - -
248 COLLINS Andrew M. 60% 33% 6% 1% - -
249 BONSELL Vance 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
249 GHENEA George Philipe 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
251 GOERING Ashton H. 24% 60% 14% 1% - - -
252 HSU Derek 88% 12% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.