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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

November NAC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, November 11, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
2 POSSICK Lola P. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
3 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
3 CHIN Erika J. - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
5 GORDON Tamar - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
6 YONG Erika E. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 24% 5%
7 TZOU Alexandra - - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
8 KONG Isabel - 4% 17% 34% 33% 13%
9 SHOMAN Jenna - - - 3% 19% 49% 29%
10 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - - 3% 17% 46% 34%
11 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
12 KALRA Himani V. - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
13 RIZKALA Joanna 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
14 OISHI Megumi - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
15 WIGGERS Susan Q. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
16 CARVALHO Isabela A. - - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8%
17 LEE Alexandra B. - - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
18 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn - - - 1% 9% 38% 51%
19 TONG Kunling - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
20 TIMOFEYEV Nicole - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 8%
21 MOZHAEVA MARIA - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
22 PAK Kaitlyn - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
23 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
24 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - - 3% 21% 49% 27%
25 BUHAY Rachel T. - 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1%
26 MARSEE Samantha - 1% 11% 34% 39% 13% 1%
27 CODY Alexandra C. - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
28 XU Ellen - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
29 ANDRES Katherine A. - 6% 27% 41% 21% 4% -
30 BENOIT Adelaide L. 2% 17% 42% 31% 8% 1% -
31 NEWELL Alexia C. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
32 FEARNS Zara A. 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
33 STONE Hava S. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
34 GORMAN Victoria M. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
35 BAKER Audrey C. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
36 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
37 CHEEMA Sophia 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
38 LUKASHENKO Angelina - 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 2%
39 SHOMAN Miriam - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 7%
40 BLUM Leah I. - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9%
41 GREENBAUM Ella K. - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 20%
42 SZETO Chloe 1% 9% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
43 WU Erica L. - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
44 JULIEN Michelle - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
45 MIKA Veronica - 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
46 ATLURI Sara V. - - 5% 25% 42% 24% 3%
47 TAO Hannah J. - - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10%
48 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika - 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
49 KRYLOVA Valery - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
50 CHIOLDI Mina - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
51 ANDRES Charmaine G. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
52 YANG Ashley M. - 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3%
53 OLSEN Natalie J. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2%
54 LIN Audrey J. 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5%
55 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. - 3% 16% 37% 36% 9%
56 HURST Kennedy 5% 23% 39% 27% 7% -
57 PATEL Riya 1% 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% -
58 CHEN Jacqueline 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
59 PRIEUR Lauren 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2% -
60 BENTOLILA Thalia 3% 24% 47% 22% 4% - -
61 BOLTON Eleksi M. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
62 HELLER Mikenna E. 7% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
63 BOIS Adele 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
64 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 29% 44% 22% 4% - - -
65 CHEN Xinyan 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
66 LI Victoria J. - 2% 13% 38% 35% 12% 1%
67 ALCEBAR Kayla - 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
68 CALLAHAN Chase J. - 6% 25% 41% 23% 4% -
69 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
70 TODD Phoebe 8% 44% 35% 11% 2% - -
70 ZINNI Kaylyn M. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
72 WANG Zidan 18% 46% 28% 7% 1% - -
73 D'ORAZIO Isabella 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
74 SINHA Anika - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
75 ENDO Miyuki N. 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
76 WANG Jianning 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% - -
77 BEVACQUA Aria F. 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
78 SADOVA Olga 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
79 ADAMS Morrigan B. 27% 47% 22% 4% - - -
80 ZENG Xiaoyi 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
81 NEIBART Fiona 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
82 HUANG Tina 44% 42% 13% 2% - - -
83 BAKER Amelia M. 17% 52% 26% 5% - - -
84 FU Linqian (Helen) 7% 36% 37% 16% 3% - -
85 MUNGOVAN Cecilia C. 69% 27% 4% - - - -
86 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 13% 38% 36% 11% 1% - -
87 FERRARI-BRIDGERS Marinella O. 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% -
88 BELTRAN Emilia M. 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% - -
88 WEI Vivian W. 4% 35% 40% 17% 3% - -
90 KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S. 67% 29% 4% - - - -
91 MCMAHON Byronie 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
92 LU Amy 16% 47% 29% 7% 1% - -
93 GUTHIKONDA Sunanya 35% 46% 16% 2% - - -
94 LITVAK-HINENZON Michaela 55% 37% 7% 1% - - -
94 LIN Selena 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
96 HOLMES Emma 44% 42% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.