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July Challenge & Parafencing Nat'l Championships

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, July 25, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JI Cody Walter - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
2 YUN Jake - - 3% 16% 37% 36% 7%
3 HO Kaden M. 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
3 SO Hananiah - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
5 CHON Taylor A. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
6 WU Mengke - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
7 FENG Leo - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
8 KOTOV Leonid 1% 6% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
9 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - - 6% 30% 64%
9 DHINGRA Gian K. - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
11 TONG ZACHARY - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
12 HONG Vincent Q. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
13 WANG Eric Y. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
14 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
15 JIANG Anthony - 3% 16% 33% 34% 13%
16 LINSKY Matthew - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
17 LIANG Connor - - - - 4% 29% 67%
18 HOUTZ Jackson 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
19 CHIN Matthew W. 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
20 YUN Jaesun - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
21 KIM Shaun M. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
22 WOODWARD Connor - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
23 SHOMAN Noah 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
24 SIMAK Joseph P. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
24 LEE Justin - 3% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
26 NOBLE Colin - 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
27 MARGULIES William 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
28 GUZZO Vito - 5% 26% 42% 24% 4%
29 BULL Anderson - 4% 25% 42% 25% 4%
30 HAN Daniel Y. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
31 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
32 HONG Steven 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
33 TANN Justin - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
34 KIM Alexander M. - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
35 LUKASHENKO Darii - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
35 ERMAKOV Lev - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
37 BERMAN Luca - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
38 GHAYALOD ansh - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
39 YANG Duncan (BoTong) - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
40 HUANG Alexander C. 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
41 DU Gavin J. 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
42 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
43 GREENBAUM Ian L. - 4% 19% 36% 31% 11% 1%
44 XU Andrew - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
45 NAZLYMOV Andrei 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
46 HOLZ Daniel - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 4%
47 STONE Esmond A. - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10% 1%
48 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 2%
49 CHOI Silas 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
50 CHEONG Heonjae - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
51 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. - 4% 15% 29% 30% 17% 4%
52 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
53 COLE Alexander 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
54 KIBBAR Tomer L. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
55 MORRILL William - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
55 ZHENG Edward L. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
57 QIU Nathan - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
57 HOLZ William A. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
59 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
60 MAKLIN Edward P. 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
61 XU William 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
62 SWORDS Evan F. 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
63 DOLAN Charles R. - 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
64 ZHANG Yankun 16% 43% 30% 9% 1% - -
65 SANDERS Samuel B. - 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
66 ZUBATIY Samuel - 1% 8% 22% 33% 27% 9%
67 CHEN Evan P. 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
68 WU Richard 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
69 ZHOU Miles 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
70 MCCARTHY Gabriel 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1%
71 POPE Nico - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
72 REN James 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
73 SHOMAN Zachary - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 5%
74 ALTIRS Giorgio 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
75 OVERDECK Andrew 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
76 RHEE Ethan N. 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
76 KUMAR Sachit 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
78 LEE Aydan J. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
79 RAJAN Advait 24% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
80 BONSELL Vance 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
81 CHANG Colin S. - 4% 22% 41% 27% 5%
82 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
83 MOULTON Ian 34% 49% 15% 2% - -
84 HJERPE Wade H. 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
85 DENG Andrew 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
86 GOLDMAN Noah R. 2% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
87 OH Triton 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
87 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 80% 19% 1% - - - -
89 LU Caleb Q. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
90 HUANG Tom 7% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
91 KUSHKOV Veniamin 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
92 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
92 LIU Mingyang Ryan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
94 LIN Daniel 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
95 LIU Christopher X. 8% 25% 33% 23% 9% 2% -
96 CHTERENTAL Alex 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
97 YANG Ziyi - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
97 ZHOU Brian - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
99 AVAKIAN Alec - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
100 TANG Alex Y. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
101 EICHHORN Lukas H. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
102 WANG Nicolas 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
103 ZHOU Aeres Z. 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
104 MISHRA Aadi 62% 32% 5% - - - -
105 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
106 ZHANG Derek 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
107 NG Jeremiah 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
108 PIWOWAR Alex 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1%
109 SCHERER Max 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
110 VO Minh Q. 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
110 GHENEA George Philipe 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
112 KIM Ryan 37% 47% 14% 2% - -
113 CHEN Leo - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
114 LANNAMAN Connor 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
115 BERRIO Carter E. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
116 BROU Inkosi 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
117 KIM Andrew H. - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
118 ZHANG Jeffrey - 7% 26% 37% 24% 6% -
119 CHEONG Heonjun 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
120 ZHU Charlie 36% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
121 LEUNG Nathan 3% 32% 42% 19% 4% - -
122 CHAN Aidan 1% 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
123 DUDNICK Christian 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
124 PERRON Robert 10% 43% 34% 11% 2% - -
125 VELTZ Tyler J. 86% 13% 1% - - - -
126 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 14% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
126 WANG Liuao 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
128 MONSON Eli 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.